Review of High Distribution Yield of 8.2%- United Hampshire US REIT After Disappointing Results For FY2024.

Today, I decided to have a look back at United Hampshire US REIT ("UHREIT") which I last reviewed on February 11, 2025- it had been a horrendous bloodbath in terms of its market price over the past few years considering the fact that it debuted at an IPO offered price of US$0.80 per unit on SGX but is tragically now languishing at US$0.51 per unit as at Dec 5, 2025. UHREIT is the 2nd largest holdings in my overall consolidated portfolios. On a macro-economical level, conditions for REITs market have improved drastically relative to a year ago where the raging interest rate environment led to devastating impact on their financial performances. The time maybe ripe for further improvement in its DPU as well as also another 20%-30% capital appreciation. UHREIT has steadily climbed +7.3% in capital appreciation from US$0.475 to US$0.510 as at Dec 4,2025. Adding in dividends of US$0.0414 received in 2025, which is a +8.72% distribution yield on the market price of UHREIT at the beginning of the year. This translates to an impressive total return of +16% return for FY2025. Is things finally turning around for long suffering unit-holders of UHREIT? Let’s take a closer look below:

1.Revitalised DPU Finally For UHREIT.

For the longest time, we are finally starting to see the light at the end of the tunnel- DPU has been on a decreasing trend yearly since its IPO days in late 2020. The post COVID high interest rate era has taken a huge toll on the DPU of UHREIT. The good news here is that the distributions for the 2nd half of 2024, which is paid in March 2025 has improved. Furthermore, the 1st half FY2025 distributions has also continued this drastically improved trend. I will expect further improvements in FY2026 as UHREIT begin to further recover. 

2. Financial Performance of UHREIT For 1st Half FY2025 Relative to !st Half FY2024

Well, this is a little complicated as there are disposal of investment property (Albany Supermarket) during the year hence revenue and net income comparative will not be on an apple to apple and definitely show a decline without further normalisation. Additionally, the fair value gain/loss (as depicted in items circled in blue above) will also skew the net income numbers as these are actually non-cash adjustments. Therefore, we will need to do some mental acrobatics here by using the Net Income Before Tax and Before Fair Value Changes to compute the "normalised" Earnings Per Unit ("EPU").

Normalised EPU Computation To Assess Performance

Interestingly, there is a deterioration in financial performance with EPU dropping by a slight 2.8%. Nevertheless, the Dover Marketplace acquisition in August 2025 is yield accretive and bought at 4.8% below independent valuation. So, 2nd half financial performance should catch up and the differences is not expected to be material. With interest rate coming down, UHREIT will most likely be producing better financial results for FY2026 and generating higher distributions.

3. Leverage Ratio Improvement-Below 40%

UHREIT has come a long way to bringing down its aggregate leverage ratio from over 42% to the current healthier 38.9% as at the latest 3Q 2025 operational updates. Let's keep our fingers crossed that the management of UHREIT will continue to maintain this ratio. 

The good news here is that unlike our 3 US Commercial Office REITs on SGX which imploded shortly after COVID and are all struggling financially with partial or full suspension of dividends payout, UHREIT seems to be the only US REIT that is still paying out most of its distribution and in a much better shape. 

Parting Thoughts

The poignant thing about UHREIT is that it is trading at a substantial 32% discount to its NAV of US$0.74 per unit and offering a high distribution yield of around 8.2%-8.3% based on US$0.51 closing price as at Dec 5, 2025. There is an analyst report by UOB Kay Hian on UHREIT with a price target of US$0.70 per unit which presents a super optimistic view of 37% capital appreciation. Since UHREIT has always been trading at a huge discount to NAV, I will be happy if it goes up by just 20% capital gain and provides a yearly recurring 7%-8% distribution yield to unit-holders. 

The Bashing of PIMCO GIS Income Fund Which Offers Over 6.3% Annual Payout Yield.

The PIMCO GIS Income Fund has an extremely impressive pay-out rate of approximately 6.30% per annum. It invests in mostly fixed income like US government bonds, corporate bonds as well as mortgage backed securities. Interestingly, it has been getting flanks recently on social media for various reasons. Some of these retail investors frowned upon the points that part of the invested assets such as mortgage back securities are risky and that there are drawing down of leverage for its investments which will magnify losses. Additionally, its Net Asset Value ("NAV) per unit has gone down from its S$10.98 peak 5 years ago hence there is another assertion of PIMCO making high pay-out via its original capital which implied an ever declining NAV per unit. 

High Distribution Yield of Over 6%

1. Declining NAV Per Unit?

I think a picture speaks more than a thousand words. So I attached the NAV per unit chart over the last 3 years (2023-2025) of post COVID era and exclude the low interest rate environment era (2022-2023). Based on the above chart, we can see that PIMCO GIS Income Fund NAV per unit is pretty much stable over the last 3 years. 

I will not want to compare the low interest rate environment performance with the sudden interest rate spike era as the fair value definitely would have fallen given the inverse relationship between value of bonds and interest rates. Investors during those period would also have received the interest payment distribution to cover the valuation decline.

We must all remember that fixed income securities are not the same as Singapore Government Bonds or Singapore Saving Bonds which are close to being risk free. Consequently, there will always be a degree of capital loss risk when we decided to invest in a fixed income fund but which offers a higher interest rate. 

2. The Fear of Mortgage Back Securities ("MBS") in PIMCO Funds

This probably stamped from the Global Financial Crisis in 2008 and many older folks still vividly recalled the toxic subprime mortgages that triggered the avalanche of defaults and bankruptcies. I think that we need to have an objective view on this item. 

I attached the below extract from the PIMCO November 2025 Income Strategy Update:

<Quote>

Q: Agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) remain a focus in the Income Strategy. What is your outlook for the position?

PIMCO Chief Investment Officer (Daniel J Ivanscyn): We continue to like agency MBS. They have been trading at wider spreads than investment grade corporates, which is highly unusual as corporates tend to be more sensitive to economic fundamentals. Also, the market for agency MBS offers an attractive liquidity profile, enabling us to remain nimble.

Agency mortgages tend to benefit from periods of low interest rate volatility, which has generally been the case this year, though the situation is evolving. Agency MBS also tend to perform well when the yield curve steepens as the Fed cuts short-term rates. Also, the Fed ending its balance sheet reduction should be another tailwind for the asset class.

We are often asked about the potential privatization of the government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs). Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has clearly stated that any action on the GSEs must not raise borrowing costs or disrupt the mortgage market. Thus, we see privatization as a minor risk.

</Unquote>

Parting Thoughts

Personally, I am vested in PIMCO Income Fund via Endowus and I believe it is widely diversified enough that it will not collapse till becoming worthless unlike buying individual stocks or holding on to a single fixed income instrument. There will always be market risk even for a fixed income fund in exchange for a relatively higher interest income yield. There is always a triple-conflicting dilemma of (i) capital guarantee, (ii) high dividend/interest return yield and (iii) least volatility facing any financial asset class. One simply can't have all cake and eat it right?

[P.S: Please also see the sharing by Hello World blogpost related to PIMCO: "Pimco Income Fund (any good?)"]

Manulife US REIT Expansion of Investment Mandate Beyond US Office Sector.

This is awesome news! Manulife US REIT is seeking a mandate from its Unit-holders to go beyond US commercial office space and venture into industrial, living sector and retail assets across the US and Canada.  Personally, I thought that this is a wonderful and brilliant initiative. Nevertheless, retail investors need to be aware that the old legacy issue of the "The Curse of the 9.8% Unit Holdings Limit Imposed On US REITs Sponsor" is ever present and is just a tickling time bomb. 

US Ambassador to Singapore Is Calling in Favour For Making Singapore's Economic Miracles Possible.

The latest controversy on the social media these days is over the remarks made by President Donald Trump's ambassador to Singapore, Dr Anjani Kumar Sinha. When asked about the 10% baseline tariff imposed on Singapore by Donald Trump in spite of a free trade agreement since 2004, Dr Sinha commented that "over many decades, American taxpayers and service members have underwritten regional security, playing an important role in making Singapore's economic miracles possible". 

Personal Thoughts

So despite the trade surplus enjoyed by the US trading with Singapore, the 10% import tariff imposed on Singapore by Donald Trump is actually a form of "Protection money". This reminded me of the early days of Singapore when Triads or Secret Societies run amok. Historically, Triads or Secret Societies in Singapore heavily relied on demanding protection money (extortion) as a primary source of income, particularly during the colonial era and the mid-20th century. This activity was a major menace to shopkeepers, hawkers, and residents during that dark historical era.

Interestingly, it appears that Dr Sinha is insinuating that US is acting like a Mafia and imposing "Protection money" on Singapore and Singaporeans should be grateful for it. So, now we know that the 10% import tariff levied on Singapore is actually not a tariff on imports but rather "Protection money".  

My Tragic Venture Into Crypto- Huge Loss of 20%+ Investment Into Bitcoin within a Month.

Wow, looks like I am really leading a life of salted vegetable. My old curse of stocks plummeting immediately after I bought them, seems to extend into my first venture into Crypto currency. I got my first bitcoin in at around US$110,000 and the price has since plunged to US$86,800 as at November 23, 2025. This is a startling loss of around <-21%>. One fifth of my investment vaporised within a month it seems. I thought that Bitcoin is easy to invest in as there is no financial statements of a company that one needs to go through. Just go with trending and gut feel. With US dollars doomed and going to depreciate, I thought that Bitcoin, with its limited supply, will surely rise in value overtime. Additionally, with so many institutional players now offering Bitcoin products and corporations buying Bitcoin, its value like our Singapore car COEs will only appreciate over time. Well, how wrong I was and it crashed almost immediately. How low can Bitcoin go from here? Many folks have different estimate that range widely from US$25K to US$80K.  

Well good thing about Crypto trading is that one can buy in fraction. While my loss in percentage is staggering, my monetary loss is S$40 as I invested only S$200. I have since added another S$200 into Bitcoin to average down. I am currently using Independent Reserve platform to buy Bitcoin, will try to withdraw some cash out first to test its authenticity. Recently heard of too many investment scams. 

Got Whacked by UOB Cashplus Account- Paid Net S$60 For Nothing So Goodbye!

I am saying goodbye to my UOB CashPlus account which I have been holding on for more than a decade. The main reason for opening this account with United Overseas Bank ("UOB") then was that this account came with a cheque book for use. However, I find that my usage of cheques have been declining. The Monetary Authority of Singapore will also be phasing out personal cheques after their initiative to terminate corporate cheques usage by December 2026. This product actually offers an extremely attractive low personal interest rate of 3.3% to 3.34% per annum for 6mths-12mths financing under the current promotion subject to a monthly minimum repayment of 2.5% of outstanding balances. In event of a default, an exorbitant 29.98% of interest rate per annum will apply if the minimum repayments are not made.

Shocked by Charge of S$120 Management Fees Without Full Waiver.

Every year, there is a S$120 management fees payable. Usually, I will dial into the hotline to seek a waiver and usually, I will get a full waiver of this fees. However, this year was bad, the bank only waived off 50% and hence a net S$60 was deducted from my CashPlus account.  

Anyway, water under the bridge. I decided to terminate this CashPlus account since I was not really using it anyway. Apparently, account closure for CashPlus cannot be done via internet banking or phone banking. There is a written notice option but I could not find the detailed information such as what to include in the letter/email. So I decided to use the most direct solution of going down to one of the UOB branches to do this. This proved to the fastest way for accounts closure as by the next day, I noticed that my CashPlus account is no longer showing up in my UOB internet banking- no more leakage of unnecessary expense for maintaining this account.

Is US Plunging Into A Recession Or Already In One?

Wow, so many videos and posts recently with regard to the private credit crisis in US. The First Brands and Tricolor bankruptcies have scared the "sheet" out of many people. The AI bubble also seems to be worsening with many investors and experts sounding alarm with regard to Open AI Sam Altman's management team proposing idea of a backstop guarantee by the US government to lower financing cost for its chips investment and data centres setup. High AI CAPEX spending but low profit generation maybe a recipe for imminent financial disaster? 

So do you folks think that a US triggered global recession is on the horizon and what are the adjustments you made to your investment portfolio? Let me know your thoughts and comments.