Friday, 20 June 2025

Personal Updates- My Little Piece of Joy Albeit The Stock Market Doldrum.

Life is certainly dull these past few years with the asset classes (primarily SREITs) that I am vested in, perfoming mediocrally. The only little small piece of joy is that I finally won the TOTO after so many years! Well, I am not the lucky guy from Yew Tew who won the S$12Mil grand prize on 19th June 2025 but finally have the luck to be one of the winner of the 7th prize of S$10 for matching 3 similiar numbers....haha.

It is certainly easier to gain more speculating in some risky stock picks rather than ploughing hundreds of dollars that went into SG Pools but only gain a cumulative windfall of S$10. 

Wednesday, 18 June 2025

Fu Yu Corporation- Former Super Hero Cash Cow Became Bleeding Cow.

What a change of fortune for Fu Yu Corporation ("Fu Yu Corp") since the original owners sold off the business to the new owner.  Fu Yu Corporation was sold by its founding shareholders-Ching Heng Yang, Tam Wai, Ho Nee Kit, and Hew Lien Lee- to a fund managed by Pilgrim Partners on 18 January 2021. On that date, Pilgrim Partners’ vehicle acquired approximately 29.8% of the company (around 224 million shares) at S$0.26 per share, in a deal valued at roughly S$58.3 million. From a former superhero dividend cash cow generator, Fu Yu Corp has unfortunately became a shadow of its former self. 

1.  Opening of Smart Factory and Venture into Bio-medical Market Segment
Apparently, the opening of the smart factory which have state of the art technologies such as 3D printing and automation in Singapore as well as the new strategic growth into bio-tech sector, did not boost revenue and net profit. Worse still, the business performance went opposite and is now operating in a net loss position. 

2. Recent New Woes- Infighting Among Internal Stakeholders
Victor Lim, one of the substantial shareholders wanted a board seat with executive power to push forward a strategic reset for Fu Yu Corp. The crash between the senior managmenet team and Victor Lim has been onging since 2024. This does not bode well for the entire business when its leadership team is distracted from running the business. Saying that, my personal thoughts are that Victor does have valid concerns on the current direction of the business which is clearly not working out as one can see from the losses suffered since the exit of the founding shareholders.

3. Corporate Governance Issues
The fiasco of the USD3Mil in unverified payments and email irregularities in Fu Yu Supply Chain Solutions seems to be unresolved and investigation are still ongoing.

Parting Thoughts
As of 18 June 2025, its share price is traded at S$0.09 per share. This is a far cry from its glorious days of S$0.25 to S$0.30 per share range before the exit of the founding shareholders. Hope that most retail shareholders had already exited last year before the crash to below 10 cents a share. 

Tuesday, 17 June 2025

Buying Opportunities Again- Israel Attacked Iran.

Just when everyone thought that the stock market had stabilised with the “not too bad” export control truce from the US-China trade negotiation post UK London meetup, Israel suddenly launched an attack on Iran that sank most stock markets and drive oil prices up. The devastating attack destroyed Iran’s nuclear enrichment facilities and also tragically killed many of its top military leaders. Iran also counter-attacked with the launch of hundreds over ballistic missiles at Israel. The retaliatory strikes have killed many civilians and many suffered injuries.

1. Do not panic and sell all
While there is a distinct possibility of the conflict spreading and dragging in more countries, I think that most likely the war between Israel and Iran will be contained as currently, it only involves air-strikes on both sides and no ground deployment. I will thus be holding on to most of my equity portfolios.

Nevertheless, I have sold off approximately 10% of my stakes of Keppel (SGX Stock code: BN4) when its price reached a high of S$7.30 to S$7.36 on 17 June 2025 to take some profits off the table and prepare for re-deployment to other investment assets like SREITs or HK/China stocks that are trading at huge discount off their books value. Sold off 1,800 shares of Keppel at around S$7.35 per share.

2. Best time to accumulate more equities/bonds.
Come to month end, I will also be pumping in another extra S$2K into my bond fund (Pine Bridge Asia Pacific Investment Grade Bond Fund) and equity fund  portfolio at Endowus. It maybe better to also diversify widely via unit-trusts to minimise total loss from a costly investment decision.

Parting thoughts
Personally, I think that this maybe the best opportunity to accumulate more stocks. A bigger dilemma for me is whether to keep my remaining S$20K stakes in Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT ("KORE") which appears severely undervalued but facing the propsect of a US economy entering a severe recession due to the crazy antics of Donald Trump as well the ongoing Israel-Iran war that increases the propsect of high oil prices and consequently worsening demand for US Commercial office space. We may have to accept that the slum in KORE market price may continue for the next decade. Maybe better to just bite the bullet and redeploy the funds into e-commerce and cloud giant Alibaba or other SREITs. 

Monday, 9 June 2025

Asia Focused Bond Funds Besides PIMCO GIS Income Fund Which Has Overly Concentration in United States.

With the numerous online concern by many folks over the weakening USD and US inflationary pressure from Donald Trump's import tariff, the popular PIMCO GIS Income fund and other US bond funds which are heavily concentrated in US assets has been making people very uncomfortable. The funny thing is that the market cannot decide on whether it will be an inflationary environment or a declining interest rate environment (from imminent rate cut due to worsening business sentiment). There are currently 2 Asian bond funds which I have considered for diversification away from US geographical sector over-concentration.

The 12mth yield for this fixed income fund is at 5.63%. Howver, annualised 1 year return has only been at +2.70%. Strangely, despite it being an Asia Pacific focused bond fund, it contained 2.16% of US bonds in its portfolio- but I guess this is a lot better as compared to the Fidelity Asian Bond Fund which I will discuss further below in Pt 2.

As aforesaid mentioned, a surprising high amount of 27.32% of its investment in bonds is in the United States albeit being an Asian focused fixed income fund. It is giving out 5.65% of distribution yield. Its annualised 1 year return of +2.56% is almost similar to the PineBridge Asia Pacific Investment Grade Bond Fund. 
Parting Thoughts
I am currently vested in the PineBridge Asia Pacific Investment Bond Fund as it has the least concentration of US assets in its geographic allocation relative to Fidelity Asian Bond Fund. My personal experience of a higher return fixed income fund is still PIMCO GIS Income Fund which delivered an annualised return of 4.61%. With the economic downturn, it is inevtible that the distribution yield of all bond funds will continue to go further down and prices of bond funds will have potential upside. Anyway, good to put away some of my investments in bond funds which do help a lot in reducing wild volatiltiy in valuation as compared to my equities holding. 

Shocked to Learn that 90% of Pre-University Space Reserved for Indigenous Population- Be thankful!

Snippet Extract from The Straits Times on 9 June 2025 "Malaysian top scorers’ hopes for pre-uni spots dashed, reigniting fairness debate"

I was shocked beyond words that Malaysian top scorers scoring 10As in our neighbouring country of Malaysia does not guarantee a spot for public Pre-University programme. Apparently, 90% are still being reserved for indigenous population. I thought that things have improved slightly since the new poltical parties coalition took power. If separation from Malaysia did not happen in 1965, Singaporeans would also have faced the same policy and the only way out were to send your kids to costly private college programme. Think we should be grateful that our local meritocracy system (albeit its con of highly stressful education environment) creates a equal opportunity environment regardless of race and religion.  

Tuesday, 3 June 2025

Alibaba Shares Dropped Back to HKD110 Level- Thanks to King of Mayhem Donald Trump.

Interestingly, Alibaba has been on a wild see-saw ride over the past year with unprecdented level of violatitlity thanks to the antics of the King of Mayhem Donald Trump who ranted on China for violating the trade pact reached in Geneva to avoid punishing Geneva. On mid-may 2025, Alibaba hit a high of HKD131 per share but yesterday it went down to HKD110 on 2 June 2025. This is a crazy drop of 16% within 2 short weeks. 

1. Added 300 Alibaba shares at HKD110 per share
When I happened to see the sudden dip to HKD110 level just before lunch break, I decided to take action and accumulate additional 9988 stocks. I pumped in S$2K and also sold off all my Industrial and Commercial Bank of China stocks to raise funds to purchase 300 Alibaba shares. Alibaba cloud busines looks promising in the long term with ambitious global growth-this is now the new growth engine of Alibaba. 

2. The famous AK71 now also buying Alibaba
When you see long time critic of Alibaba and China stocks now changing his stock pick to Alibaba, it does point to the severe undervaluation of its current weak market share price relative to its underlying business growth potential. But I kinda find it amusing that AK71 just changed tune like that when over the past few years, his stand on China was that it was uninvestable due to political/policy changes risk.

Parting thoughts
I may acquire further Alibaba shares if the price plunge to HKD100 level or below. In addition, Alibaba will be paying out its annual dividend soon. For those interested, it will ex-dividend on 11 June 2025 (Wednesday) and payout US$0.2501 per share on 3 July 2025 (Thursday). This is a 1.7% dividend yield and not too bad while waiting for the market to re-price Alibaba. 

Saturday, 31 May 2025

Capitaland Ascendas REIT Disastrous Acquisition of Data Centre & Science Park- Selling Out Long Term Loyal Retail Shareholders.

I am utterly flabbergasted by the mostly raving praises by analysts with regard to the recently announced S$700Mil acquisition of the new Tai Seng data centre and business property at Science Park by Capitaland Ascendas REIT ("CLAR"). Yes, I have no doubt that the usual yield accretive argument and stable & resilient income streams from established tenants (Shopee) makes perfect sense. But the financing aspect of this acquisition exercise is a slap in the face of long term loyal retail Unit-holders with the severe dilution in their investment into CLAR via only a private placement instead of opening up to all unit-holders. 
How bad is the dilution on long term unit-holders?
Most long term Unit-holders probably entered into CLAR at prices ranging from S$2.80 per unit to S$3.00 per unit. If one entered during the pre-COVID days, then it will be S$3.00 to S$3.50 per unit range. Worst still, CLAR management offered a 5% discount to the market price of S$2.6059 per unit on 27 May 2025, that is, S$2.47 per unit.

Overall, S$500Mil of private proceeds were raised to fund the purchase of the above mentioned properties at the discounted price per unit of S$2.470. 
Parting thoughts
Personally, I thought that the CLAR management ought to have opened up the fund raising to all retail-unit holders instead of taking the easy way out and selling out long-term loyal unit-holders. Anyway, if queried, CLAR management will probably come up with the stupid excuses of (i) uncertainty of successful fund raising via preferential rights issue in current economic climate and/or (ii) the need for speed to close out the deal. This is extremely disappointing as this corporate action does not benefit existing retail unit-holders and is a stab in their back.