Monday, 6 October 2025

Taking a Punt in Keppel DC REIT Rights Issue To Make Small Immediate Profit.

For my thoughts on whether I will be subscribing for this latest rights issue and key application milestone from Keppel DC REIT ("KDC"), please refer to my earlier post. Additionally, have decided to take a punt and make use of Keppel DC REIT ("KDC") rights issue exercise to try to earn some spare cash. The current market price is S$2.40 per unit as at Oct 3, 2025 (Friday) which I think is the peak price for this period. and price will start dropping from this point. Generally, by the time the new units get listed on SGX (Oct 22, 2025), the market price will commence tapering off as some investors will not feel happy with subscribed folks who are getting new KDC units at a discounted S$2.24. So the period from Oct 3, 2025 till Oct 22, 2025 will present an opportunity to maximise making the most money for immediate realisation and usage which I will further elaborate below. In fact, the probability of this one off punt making money is higher than striking the SG Toto's Group 7 prize (striking 3 numbers and winning S$10). 

1. Key Factors to Consider
(a) No major changes in macro-economic outlook or market events causing sudden surge in market prices within this short period;

(b) Able to have the "lobang"(via your stock broker) to get one's hand on the exact same number of excess rights issue as the number of units that one will be selling off immediately so as to maintain the same number of holdings in KDC;

(c) No of units for immediate sell-off should be of sufficient size to make the transactional trading cost (referring to selling cost here as the rights allotment admin fees is just S$2 irrespective of size of the subscription/purchase) worth it.

(d) As alluded to 1(b), if unfortunately unable to get the full 5,000 units of excess rights, then I will re-invest the proceeds into other higher yield SREITs. I believe that KDC current 4% per unit will be easy to beat. 

2. Execution of Plan and Mechanics
On the morning of Oct 6, 2025 (Monday), I have sold off 5,000 units of KDC at S$2.39 per unit for a total of S$11,950 (sold off immediately at S$2.39 bid price as I decided against queueing to sell at S$2.40 per unit).

Subsequently, I have made an excess rights application of 5,000 units of KDC at S$2.24 (totalling S$11,200) on top of my allocated allotment with my stock broker.

3. Mechanics & Targeted Profits
I am targeting for a quick profit realisation of S$750 (S$11,950 less off S$11,200) with the above maneuver by locking in the selling price of S$2.40 per unit as of Oct 6, 2025 morning. 

Parting Thoughts
Overall, I have no interest in increasing my stakes in KDC by too much as it is only yielding 4% and the market price per unit is at a huge premium over its NTA per unit. Market seems to be pricing KDC as a growth stock. Hence I am taking a bet that S$2.40 per unit is the peak market price reached for this rights issuance and to sell off immediately to optimise the profit realisation.

Sunday, 5 October 2025

Prime US REIT Short-Changed Existing Unit-Holders With Private Share Placement.

By now, everyone should be aware of the downside of investing in US Commercial REITs listed on SGX. Given the maximum rule of no individual unit-holders can hold more than 9.8% of total units without dismantling with special tax concession granted by Uncle Sam, existing unit-holders will not be able to participate in rights issue. Instead existing unit-holders have to watch their investment get diluted at the worst possible time.
Financial Highlights
Prime US REIT remains in great peril with aggregate leverage level of 46.7% albeit the gradual but slow recovery in US Offices occupancy rate. While Manulife US REIT is in a far worse condition, this gives scant comfort to existing unit-holders of Prime US REIT. The current strategy of suspending bulk of the dividends distribution from Unit-holders to finance CAPEX seems not to be working well as on September 25, 2025, the management of Prime US REIT announced a private placement of 129.2Mil new units to raise approximately US$25Mil at a 10% discount of average market price of US$0.215 per unit. This led to an immediate dip in market price of Prime US REIT to US$0.199 per unit as at Oct 3, 2025. 

Parting Thoughts
Existing loyal retail unit-holders remain adversely short-changed by the management of Prime US REIT with this dilutive move. I hope that the management of Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT does not get inspired by this terrible move while trading at a huge discount to NAV per unit.