Investment Portfolios Updates (29 August 2025) - Net Investment of S$813K and Projected Annualised Passive Income of S$48K.

Hi Folks, welcome back to my bi-monthly investment portfolios update. With the anticipation of the long awaited lowering of US interest rates finally having a high chance of materialising after Powell's recent speech, REITs' rally became more sustainable from the expected higher distributable income from much lower financing cost. Let's keep our fingers crossed that the September 2025 first rate cut of 25 basis points happen as per anticipation- I really have enough of the roller costal ride over the past year. With the recent strong rally from REITs, my overall gross portfolios hits S$1.08Mil while net portfolios after leverage hits S$813K. This is a drastic improvement of almost +S$80K in just 2 months from the market recovery. As a mainly dividend focused strategy investor, it is not this capital gain that excites me but rather the upcoming additional cashflow expected from the lower interest rate effect on my various investment portfolios and additionally, the significant savings from my margin loan. 

1. Portfolio 1- Stocks Held in SGX Central Depository 

Not much changes here except for the improved market valuation of equities during the recent rally.

2. Portfolio 2- Margin Purchased Securities

(Note: My margin purchased securities has grown to a sufficient scale to sustain itself and can pay off annual financing charges as well as to gradually pay down the margin loan through the dividends generated.) 

Keppel and Lendlease continue to perform exceptionally well. The gross dividend yield is currently on the low side as Keppel Pacific Oak US REIT is still in the midst of distribution suspension and will only resume its payout in 2026. Also, there is around S$15K invested in Alibaba when its price drop below HKD110 per share recently.  

3. Portfolio 3 (with Tiger Brokers and MooMoo) 

(Venture into higher risk as well as capital growth stocks here)

4. Portfolio 4 (Endowus Unit Trusts & Other Investments)

I continued to add to my Endowus bond funds of PIMCO and Pine APB to diversify away from excessive heavy weightage of my entire gross portfolios in equities. This may also be the last opportunity to accumulate interest income as former attractive bond interest yield is fast coming down. Going forward, I will also be drawing down the pay-out from this particular portfolio for daily uses. 

Parting Thoughts

Well, I am happy that the interest rate cuts from my wish list is finally materialising. Ok, that's all the updates I have for today folks. Have a great week ahead!

China has Sufficient Thorium Nuclear Fuel Deposit to Power Itself for 60,000 Years.

Interestingly, China has discovered vast deposits of Thorium in Bayan Obo mining complex in Inner Mongolia, a northern autonomous region, where estimates suggest that full extraction of these deposits could yield up to one million tonnes of thorium. This substantial reserve can fuel China for the next 60,000 years.

1.Benefit 1: More In Abundance Than Uranium 
The importance of thorium in the nuclear energy industry lies in its potential to be a more abundant and efficient substitute for uranium, potentially addressing energy needs in the long term. Thorium is three times as abundant as uranium and nearly as abundant as lead and gallium in the Earth's crust. The Thorium Energy Alliance estimates "there is enough thorium in the United States alone to power the country at its current energy level for over 1,000 years.

2.Benefit 2: Safer Than Uranium

Long-lived radioactive waste for thorium is just a fraction from nuclear plants using Uranium. In a molten-salt reactor, thorium is combined with lithium fluoride and heated to extreme temperatures of 1,400°C, where neutron bombardment initiates a chain reaction. This method is more efficient than conventional uranium reactors, generates significantly less nuclear waste, and minimizes the risk of catastrophic meltdowns

3.Thorium Nuclear Fission Fuel Just A Myth?

Nope, this is not a myth. China has already successfully proven the functionality of this concept. It has built the world's first thorium molten salt reactor (TMSR-LF1) in the Gobi Desert, achieving stable criticality in 2023 and reaching full power operation in 2024. While the reactor is a small one and only 2 Megawatt, it demonstrated the feasibility of using the less pollutive thorium to replace uranium as a nuclear fission fuel.

Parting Thoughts

The use of thorium should buy our human race sufficient time to achieve a breakthrough in the holy grail of nuclear fusion technology whereby atoms are fused together to generate energy and the waste generated are low-medium level radioactive materials relative to the current nuclear fission process. 

(Note: For those interested about uranium and thorium, can read more here.)

The Margin Investing Series 1- The Income Booster Approach To Early Retirement.

Hi Folks, welcome to another episode of Investment Income For Life. Today, I am going to touch on a very sensitive topic, that is, the use of margin financing as an investment tool to boost passive income.  Anyway, just a personal sharing session on why I embark on this path and how this margin strategy works to boost income and open up a route to escape the rat race earlier- please see below video.

A Date With My Financial Planner- Stop Investing Yourself and Leave It To Your FA To Manage For You.

Earlier this week, I metup with a Financial Planner for one of my critical illness policy-let's call him "David". David has been asking for a meet-up to review my financial planning needs as people in different stages of life have varying needs as he put it. We met-up at Ya Kun Toast Box. He went on to say that he is different from other financial planners as he don't anyhow push products but rather listen to customers to know more about their needs before recommending them appropriate products. 

1. Stop Investing Yourself and Leave It To Your Financial Planner To Manage For You.

Before long, David started talking about how his client lost over 30% in stock investing when this client went on holiday and forgot to place a stop loss standing order. Hence one should spend time on focusing on his/own jobs and family instead of doing investments themselves- leave such investments to the trusted Financial Planner. He then rattled on that the unit trusts he recommended his other clients were making over 30% recently. 

This is the classic sales tactics of brain-washing customers to keep them dependant on their financial planner by arguing that people should spend their time on more "useful matters". The hard truth is that your financial advisor will not help you pick or buy/sell individual stocks. They will just be putting your money into a fund run by a fund manager. So, they themselves are actually just acting as a middlemen to the different unit trusts out there. 

Personally, I think that everyone needs to learn how to manage their own money and NOT leave it to a financial planner. If one is not good in stock picking, then there are other alternatives out there such as buying passive index funds (SPY500) or buying recommended portfolios from Robo Advisors such as Endowus or Syfe or even the local banks (DBS, UOB & OCBC) which have their own recommended managed fund portfolios. 

2. Change Your Hospitalisation and Surgical Plans ("H&S") to Cheaper Premiums Insurance Provider On a Yearly Basis To Save On Premium Costs.

The other shocking point on the meetup is when David mentioned that H&S premiums have very different amount of premiums these days for different age groups. Hence before any renewal with current provider, David highly recommend all his clients to approach him first to see whether other insurance providers H&S are cheaper. The difference can be more than S$1K per year for an entire family he asserted. 

I have to politely tell David that this can be extremely risky as there maybe pre-existing conditions that one is not aware of and that will complicate matters in event that you suffer from a major medical condition after switching over. There is always the risk that your new insurer will argue that this is pre-existing condition. This is just creating vast uncertainty in one's own risk management. 

Final Thoughts

I bade farewell to David in about half an hour time as I think that some of his beliefs are just way too strange. The only useful thing I got out from him is the will planning in event of one's own death. It is best to lay down a proper will on what to do with one's wealth else your remaining family members maybe spending unnecessary cost to get the lawyer to write in to all banks and wealth management platforms to enquire about whether you got any holdings with them.   

US Office REITs Recovery Play (KORE focus) And Disappointing Projected Distribution Yield Even If Full Payout Resumes-Part 2

Hi Folks, today let's do some stress tests on the expected distribution yield of Keppel Pacific Oak REIT ("KORE") once it resumes its distribution in FY2026. I know that there are many folks who have been holding on to their US commercial office REITs units since the pre-COVID days which also coincided with the then super low interest rate environment. There are also folks who have accumulated additional units of Manulife US REIT ("MUST"), Prime US REIT and also KORE to take advantage of the implosion in unit pricing at rock bottom while waiting for capital appreciation and dividends post recovery phase. KORE seems to be in a better shape than Prime US REIT and MUST from the key metric of occupancy rate and also leverage ratio. 

First and foremost, let's take a quick look at the recent announced cashflow of KORE 2nd half results before we annualised the numbers for analysis. The net operating cashflow from rental of offices has plunged from US$36.2Mil for 1H2024 to only US$29.8Mil for 1H2025. This is disastrous. This is a drop of <US$6.4Mil> rental income for half a year and if we annualised it, this will be precarious drop of <US$12.8Mil> in FY2025. 

Extract of Cashflow Statement 1H FY2025

Next, we will proceed to examine 3 different scenarios by assuming different level of CAPEX spending and the free cashflow available for distributions. 

1. Assuming CAPEX Required in 2nd Half 2025 is similar to 1st Half 2025

For this conservative scenario, the free cashflow is unable to sustain any payout unless KORE's management decided to go back to their own way of using borrowings to finance renovation to trigger off new leases or renewal of existing leases. 

2. Assuming CAPEX Required in 2nd Half 2025 same as FY2024 Full Year as Benchmark

Initially, as alluded to point 1 above, I thought that I was too conservative with the CAPEX of FY2025 when I annualised the half year released results of 30 June 2025. So I decided to just go back to FY2024 full year to use the CAPEX as benchmark to stress test the free cashflow available. Unfortunately, I got into a even bigger deficit of <US$18.4Mil>. 

3. Assuming CAPEX to Trigger off New Leases Already Done by 1H FY2025 and ZERO for 2H FY2025

If we can assume that KORE management has completed all the necessary renovation add on to their investment properties and that the CAPEX for 2nd half is zero, then we will have US$12.7Mil available for distribution in FY2026. This will be a sustainable 5.79% distribution yield under this relaxed assumption.

Parting Thoughts-Personal Thoughts

The expected sharp recovery in market price of KORE may not happen overnight albeit the 70% discount off its NTA per unit of US$0.70 as the probable distribution yield will be between 0% to 5.79% based on my projection if KORE decided to include in CAPEX and stop their unhealthy previous practice of paying for renovation using bank borrowings. 

US Office REITs Recovery Play And Disappointing Projected Distribution Yield Even If Full Payout Resumes.

Prime US REIT just released its first half results ending 30 June 2025. The results are a mixed bag of good news as well as some slight disappointment. Good news is that green shoots are indeed confirmed with the US office market making a painful but gradual slow recovery from both more favourable demand and supply side. The disappointing news is that distribution is still at only a fraction of the historical distribution. As for Keppel Pacific Oak REIT ("KORE"), its earlier announcement is also not too bad with occupancy maintained at the high end of 85%. I will run a financial projection later on for sharing also on the expect distribution using Prime US REIT to see the 2026 normalised distribution yield.

1. Current US Office Commercial Sector Updates

On the supply front, office ground breakings hit all-time lows, and the construction pipeline contracted to near historic levels, at a fraction of pre-pandemic levels. At the same time, inventory removals for conversions and demolitions outpaced new deliveries, resulting in a net decline of 700,000 square feet nationally in Q2. Scarcity of new, high-end supply is driving aggressive rent growth in the trophy segment and is expected to spur increased spillover demand in well-located, renovated assets as the pipeline dries up

Extract of Prime US REIT Occupancy

2. Financial Projection of Distribution Yield in FY2026 Normalisation.

The numbers are looking really bad with cash balances still dwindling. Free cashflow also still in huge negative after paying for CAPEX and financing expenses. Please see below.

Basically, unless Prime US REIT goes back to its previous free wheeling practice of paying CAPEX with more borrowings, there is nothing much left for payback to unit-holders. Some good news here is that Prime US REIT managed to sign on new 120,000 sqft leases at Waterfront At Washingtonian in June 2025 as well as 43,000 sqft of new leases at its Village Centre property in the same month. But the resultant upsides in cashflow from these new leases using US national average of US$32.87 per sqft annually for proxy reference, will mean only an additional net positive cashflow of US$5.36Mil.

If we divide it by 1,308,259,000 units, then the sustainable distribution per unit will be US$0.0041 per unit. Based on market price of U$0.175 per unit as at 13 August 2025, the annualised yield will thus be 2.34% in FY2026 assuming 100% pay-out ratio is reinstated. (Let me know if there is anything incorrect in my maths or assumptions).

Parting Thoughts
Retails investors need to take note that even if the management of Prime US REIT decided to reinstate the distributions, the payout will now need to factor in CAPEX requirement to cover for activating new leases. Unless operating rental income goes up further along with further cut in CAPEX and financing cost, there is not much left in terms of free cashflow for distribution to investors.

DBS Wonderful PayLah S$3 Cashback Programme and the Ugly Sides of It.

I love the DBS PayLah cashback rebate promotion every Saturday morning where DBS gives back to society as well as gained marketing exposure from it. Nonetheless, I was somewhat exasperated by some dark side of it over the past 2 weekends:

1. Aunties Jostling up the Escalator to Hawker Centre As If It Is The End of the World.

I was shocked by elderly aunties moving to the right side of the escalator and climbing it to beat others in the queue at 7.30am. Hey, I mean the cashback is up to the first 160,000 folks and it normally ends at 9am or 9.30am so there is ample time. I think folks need to take care of their own safety rather than have the fear that the promotion will run out soon in the next minute.

2. Long Waiting Time At Participating Stall’s Cashier- Guy with 3 Mobile Phones For Payment.

This is madness. This morning I saw a young chap in front of me who took ages to complete payment for 3 packets of Nasi Lemak and White Bee Hong. The young man was fumbling with unlocking 3 different mobile phones (he probably took his wife and kid phones along) for making payment. This is too much lah. Isn’t this also a breach of banking security by making payment using accounts not belonging to him as well as creating a public nuisance? 

Imagine if everyone were to follow, there will be folks with 6-7 phones each such as from their grandparents, spouses and kids  and unlocking them one by one to use the respective PayLah. It will take ages for the queue to clear.

Parting Thoughts

Haiz, sometimes I don’t know whether to laugh or cry when I met such strange folks and their intriguing pattern….haha.