Showing posts with label Eagle Hospitality. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Eagle Hospitality. Show all posts

Friday, 28 March 2025

Eagle Hospitality Trust Aftermath- Grand Design Fraud by Apparent Swindlers Who Managed To List Trust on SGX.

 
It has been almost 5 years since Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT") sank to the bottom of the ocean within a year of its listing in 2019. Till date, none of the directors involved have been punished yet. The 2 main perpetrators, Howard Wu and Taylor Woods from US, have been busy swindling new investors in the aftermath of the collapse of EHT. Apaprently both conmen are extrememly charming and eloquent. 

For the fun of it, I have put up the latest updates with regard to Howard Wu and Taylor Woods who have been charged by the US Securities and Exchange Commission in August 2024 for the following allegations:

Securities Fraud Scheme 1: Misrepresentation to investors to sell their hotels to 3rd parties but secretly injected them as part of investment properties into EHT and then list them on SGX.
Extract of charges filed


Securities Fraud Scheme 2: Raised money (US$1.775Mil) from new investors as bid placement for buying hotels on firesales from EHT under bankruptcy.
Extract from charges filed

Parting Thoughts
Howard Wu and Taylor Wood have wicked moral compasses. There maybe also a streak of narcissism in them. I am flabbergasted that after both have caused the bankruptcy of EHT, they have the audacity to fraudulently raise money from new investors on the pretex of bid placement to buy the EHT hotels under liquidation and even before placing the bid, they have commenced using the money for their own personal purpose. Nonetheless, both scammers have made a name for themselves for succesful listing of EHT on SGX right under the nose of the IPO banker and SGX regulators. As for Singapore, so far there have been no fraud charges brought against Howard Wu and Taylor Wood yet as if everything is being swept under the carpet to keep the entire fiasco quiet.  

Tuesday, 16 March 2021

Equity Portfolio Updates (15 Mar 21)








1. Write off remaining estimated residual value for Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT")- S$20K
I have done a full write off of S$20K of my remaining investment in EHT. Latest update from DBS Trustee is selling off of most of the hotel properties (15 out of 18 properties) via a "stalking horse" bid. The stalking horse bid is a technique use to reserve a minimum floor price during upcoming auction.  The opening bid is way below even the recent market valuation and stapled securities owners will not get anything back after paying off bankers and creditors at such a low price. Good news is that the 3 remaining hotels do not need to be sold off immediately under duress pricing as apparently, they can still be operational and not under chapter 11. 

Clearly, the only viable option was to appoint a REIT manager during the last EGM to re-start hotel operations but this was voted down by unitholders and unable to gather the required 75% in Dec 2020 (only 55% obtained). Frustrated and irrational voting by unitholders during EGM thus lead to Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection and restructuring with the US courts which is as good as a forced liquidation at one of the worst possible time. 

Anyway, this is water under the bridge. Stay away from weak sponsor. Personally, I think there are a few conflict of interest operational decisions being made by 2 of the directors as well as multiple counts of breaches of the Securities and Future Act. Even the Monetary Authority of Singapore stepped in to sack the previous REIT manager. 

2. Purchase of United Hampshire REIT
I started accumulating units in United Hampshire US REIT. Its main tenants are blue chip companies dealing with grocery and seems resilient enough to withstand any recession and downturn. IPO price was US$0.80 per unit but current unit price is at only US$0.65 per unit.

Results so far so good but trading liquidity for this REIT is poor. Good point on United Hampshire US REIT is that if it continued to report good results going forward, the dividend yield will be close to 9% per annum along with potential room for capital appreciation.

3.Accumulation of Ascendas REIT and Mapletree Industrial Trust ("MIT")
I have taken advantage of a momentary weakness (due to concerns over steepening US yield curve) in recent market pricing to accumulate units in Ascendas and MIT in both my cash and margin portfolio respectively. Ascendas and MIT provides good exposure into data centre businesses. Looking forward to the additional M&A by Ascendas as well as MIT acquiring remaining 50% stake in their data centres. 

4. Building up position in Singtel of my margin portfolio
I have raised my stakes in Singtel in view of the turnaround in India Bharti Airtel and also the winning of the digital banking license. With COVID vaccine being rolled out worldwide, I expect the further opening of the world economy as well as gradual lifting of travelling restrictions by end of the year. Singtel will thus logically perform well again. With the Singapore government as the main stakeholder in Singtel, this adds further resilience and diversity to the margin portfolio. 

5. Opening of trading account with Tiger Brokers and new Portfolio
I have created a new portfolio to invest in riskier assets such as FSL Trust or overseas market using Tiger Brokers. Basically, I will be tweaking my current investment allocation and diverting a small portion of my future funds into buying overseas stocks for capital growth and diversification as well as those riskier investments here. However, the main focus of my investment approach will still be a dividend focused one.

Looking forward to receiving my dividends of around S$10K (derived mainly from Lendlease, United Hamsphire REIT, Manulife US REIT & Prime US REIT) by end of March'21 for additional deployment. 

Wednesday, 30 December 2020

Results of EGM Of Eagle Hospitality Trust- Disastrous EGM and Back To Square One

Well, this is a complete waste of time and efforts for all stakeholders of Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT"). All resolutions were defeated by the stapled security holders as Resolution 1 to Resolution 4 are inter-dependent. Stapled security holders neither wanted a new REIT Manager & their rescue plan nor wanted to liquidate the Trust which is already running out of working capital. 88.39% do not want to liquidate the Trust even thought they rejected the rescue plan. However, this brought the Trust closer to creditors' winding up due to funding issue.

On closer examination, resolution 2 on proposed REIT Manager base fee, which required an extraordinary support of 75%, caused the downfall of the entire EGM to appoint the new manager. My thoughts are that unit-holders are not being rational here. EHT is a trust in distress and there is no painless business solution to get out of this mess.  Results of the EGM as below:

Resolution 1 (Ordinary): To approve the proposed appointment of SCCPRE Hospitality REIT Management Pte. Ltd. as the new manager of EH-REIT (Conditional upon Resolution 2, Resolution 3 and Resolution 4)
For-56.64%; Against-43.36%
Results: Carried but since resolution 2 failed, proposed new REIT Manager will not be appointed.

Resolution 2 (Extraordinary-need 75% to pass): To approve the Proposed Base Fee Supplement (EH-REIT) to reflect the proposed base fee structure of the New REIT Manager as an Interested Person Transaction (Conditional upon Resolution 1, Resolution 3 and Resolution 4).
For-56.25%; Against- 43.75%
Results: Defeated as unable to get 75% support. Proposed new REIT Manager will not be appointed

Resolution 3 (Ordinary): To approve the proposed appointment of SCCPRE Hospitality Business Trust Management Pte. Ltd. as the new trustee manager of EH-BT and waiver of the 14-days’ notice period required under Regulation 14(3)(b) of the BTR (Conditional upon Resolution 1, Resolution 2 and Resolution 4).
For-56.63%; Against- 43.37%
Results: Carried but since resolution 2 failed, proposed new REIT Manager will not be appointed.

Resolution 4 (Ordinary):  To approve the proposed authority for the issuance of up to 140,000,000 new Stapled Securities at the Issue Price per Stapled Security for payment of the New Managers’ Base Fees for the financial years ending 31 December 2021 and 2022 (Conditional upon Resolution 1, Resolution 2 and Resolution 3).
For-56.21%; Against- 43.79%
Results: Carried but since resolution 2 failed, proposed new REIT Manager will not be appointed.

Resolution 5 (Extraordinary-need 75% to pass): To approve the proposed (a) voluntary delisting of EHT, (b) voluntary termination and winding-up of EH-REIT, and (c) voluntary winding-up of EH-BT, in the event that any of Resolution 1, Resolution 2, Resolution 3 and Resolution 4 is not passed and/or carried.
For-11.61%; Against-88.39%
Results: Defeated

Parting Thoughts:
Stapled security owners are just digging their own grave by delaying the appointment of a new REIT manager to open up the hotels for business. A forced liquidation by the bankers may well be on the table soon despite a massive 88.39% of stapled security holders who want EHT to continue operations instead of choosing a voluntary winding up. The saga continues for now.....

Thursday, 10 December 2020

7 Things Eagle Hospitality Trust Unit-holders Need to Know About The Upcoming EGM (30 Dec 20) and Restructuring Plan

Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT") finally released the details on the restructuring plan on Dec 9, 2020, along with a 194 pages circular. The proposed new REIT manager is SCCPRE Hospitality REIT Management Pte Ltd ("SCCPRE"), a member of SC Group

7 key highlights EHT unitholders need to know:

1. SCCPRE rescue plan is straight forward and does not involve equity raising at the kick off stage. They will negotiate for an 18mth bridging loan of US$125Mil @ around 10.25% interest rate per annum from a group of lenders led by the Bank of America to re-start hotel operations in the stabilization phase before moving on to the growth phase. This represented the best proposals received so far as it preserves value within EHT with minimal dilution impact due to current weak market sentiment.  

2. If Resolutions 1, 2, 3 and 4 associated with the appointment of SCCPRE fails, then unitholders will need to move on to Plan B (final resolution number 5) which is the voluntary winding up of EHT and an immediate liquidation.

3. The name of EHT will no longer exist and amended to SCCP Hospitality Real Estate Investment Trust if the change of new REIT Manager is approved by unit-holders (pls refer Pg 39/194 of Circular). This actually bodes well for all stakeholders as EHT branding is now negatively associated with breach of numerous listing regulations and also famous for the 2 USA based directors who make decisions such as signing non-disturbance agreements that has conflict of interest by transferring liabilities from lessee to the lessor as well as unauthorized loan application on behalf of EHT for US COVID Loan programme- pls see pt 5 below also. 

4. By opting for a new REIT manager, the key risk here is a potential litigation risk from the creditors of outstanding hotel liabilities, the lenders of EHT under the Bank of America Facilities Agreement as well as Sponsor (Urban Commons) and the Master Lessees. Litigation are expensive and may burn up existing working capital and lead right back to square one.

5. The unauthorized loan of USD 2Mil taken out by ex-Directors Taylor Woods and Howard Wu using the name of EHT Master Lessor for the United States Paycheck Protection Program, has not been transferred to the correct party which is the lessee. There seems to be a hidden agenda by Taylor Woods and Howard Wu to transfer the liability to EHT unit-holders, that is, making EHT investors pay for their own Urban Common hotel lessee operations. There is a risk that EHT unit holders may have to bear the liability for this fraudulent loan application.

6. In order for EHT to eventually lift its trading suspension, sufficient progress would need to be made towards stabilising EHT's operations and EHT would have to ensure that it can operate as a going concern. This would mean the fastest turnaround for trading suspension to be lifted will be as at end of June 2021 if (i) SCCPRE managed to divest at least 1 hotel properties to raise cash on hand and to pay down the bridging loan and (ii) the hospitality sector starts to recover with the COVID vaccines for sufficient cashflow generation to at least breakeven point.

7.  In the event of a liquidation under Chapter 11 if unitholders choose not to vote in a new REIT manager, there is a probability that a further 14% to 43% discount off the last valuation report of US$727Mil maybe required to liquidate them immediately (Pls refer to Pg 69/194 of Circular) due to COVID.

Parting Thoughts:
Based on the aforesaid mentioned points, if the unit-holders choose to liquidate immediately, they will most likely get back nothing due to the current weak market. Hence the better option is obviously to vote for resolution 1, 2, 3 and 4 to appoint the new REIT Manager. In addition, the Trustee DBS is of the view that the proposed change of managers and related matters is the most credible proposal put forth to stapled security holders in the best interest of EHT.

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Wednesday, 9 December 2020

Eagle Hospitality Trust New White Knight- SC Capital and EOGM Showdown Coming

The recent announcement of SC Global coming into the picture as White Knight is good news for Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT"). SC currently controls the managers of two listed real estate investment trusts in the region, Japan Hotel REIT Investment Corporation and Thailand Prime Property Freehold and Leasehold REIT. It is very strong financially and has the networking and experiences to restructure EHT.

The bad news now is how much will be the placement units issued to SC Global for them to re-capitalise EHT and at what price. Current unit holders will suffer from massive dilution in their original holdings if the new unit issuance is based on recent valuation report of the hotels. But no choice, given that SC Global need to have a significant stakes in order to water down the current units controlled by Howard Wu and Taylor Woods.

More details should be released soon on the re-capitalization plan and the Extraordinary General Meeting to be convened to formally approve the change in REIT Manager and acceptance of the rescue package. Perhaps the other interesting question is whether current unit holders need to also cough up additional funds in order to raise working capital. 

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LATEST updates on 10 Dec 2020: Please refer here for the key highlights on the detailed rescue plan and EGM.

Thursday, 26 November 2020

Eagle Hospitality Trust- Updates On Projected Salvageable Hotel Properties Value from Fire-sales (End 2020)

This is an update on the valuation of Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT") in the event of forced liquidation and also an estimation of the fair market value once it is removed from suspension.

Based on the Q3 financial results released, I have updated the various numbers on the statement of financial position.


Elaboration on Financial Projection
1. I have revised the valuation of the investment properties to S$734Mil from the original S$1.27Bil. This is a significant drop in fair valuation of S$533Mil amidst COVID-19.

2. Assuming no more hidden liabilities, then immediate liquidation if a buyer can be found will be around US$0.119 per unit. 

3. If the business can continue running and valuation recovers as denoted in the various columns on the right side, investors will be able to recover more money. Hence it is important for the new white knight to be appointed as REIT Manager to continue the business. The recent successfully tested COVID vaccines should lead to a gradual recover in the US hospitality industry.

MAS instruction to DBS Trustee to terminate REIT Manager and to appoint new one
EHT REIT Manager has responded to MAS on 13 November 2020. Since then, there have been no update on whether MAS decided to accept and retain the current REIT Manager or to carry on with the appointment of a new one that will be unveiled soon. Personally, if the current REIT Manager is retained, this means EHT will still be under the control of Howard Wu and Taylor Woods. I will rather EHT liquidate and end their current business under such scenario.  However, if the REIT Manager did indeed change to a new one, then it maybe worthwhile to carry on holding on to the units of EHT.
 
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Tuesday, 27 October 2020

MAS To Kick Out Manager Of Eagle Hospitality Trust - Dramatic Plot Twist That Beats Korean Drama

What a dramatic twist that is even better than the Korean drama for the latest development at Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT") as announced by MAS on 26 October 2020. During my last posting, I have touched briefly on various issues including the possible agenda of MAS and the Commercial Affairs Department ("CAD") relating to the EHT Trust saga by kicking off with the arrest of the directors of EHT in order to send a message to 2 ex-directors Taylor Woods and Howard Wu of the sponsor Urban Commons and also as an announcement publicly to all stakeholders. It turns out that my hunch was correct, MAS has continued with a beautifully executed phase 2 of its strategic move, that is, to kick out the current Manager of EHT which is controlled by Taylor Woods and Howard Wu by quoting multiple breaches of the Securities Future Act.  

1. Intergrity seems to be at issue for ex-directors of Urban Commons- taking COVID loans in US under EHT without informing BOD of EHT; entering non-disturbing agreements with liabilities transferred from lessee to EHT and delay notificaiton of insufficient financial resources news to regulator 
Many unit-holders just want any rescue deal even if it involves people with possible integrity issue. Their main purpose is just to get the counter removed from suspension for trading resumption and to sell the units on hand immediately to salvage whatever residual cash leftover. It is a fallacy to think in such short-sighted manner. 

This will not solve any of the current predicament facing EHT unless the control held by Howard and Taylor are removed totally. As I mentioned earlier before, worst that could happen is getting nothing back as an investor. Hence if one wants to get the maximum value back from the upcoming restructuring, then the Manager of EHT controlled by Taylor Woods and Howard Wu must be eliminated immediately.

2. EHT REIT Manager's shareholder- Mandarin West Holdings
Mandarin West is indirectly owned by Howard Wu and Taylor Woods. Both Howard Wu and Taylor Woods resigned from their board positions at EHT's Reit manager as at May 2020, but both continue to wield substantial influence over EHT as joint owners of both Urban Commons - EHT's sponsor - as well as of the Reit manager.

How powerful and influential is EHT's Manager? Consider the removal of the independent director, Carl Gabriel Forian Stubbe just a day before the AGM where he was assigned by the directors and DBS Trustee to be the chairman for the following day's AGM. Stubbe was not re-elected by the Reit managers' shareholder, Mandarin West Holdings.

Stubbe, who had offered himself for re-election and was "willing and desired" to continue his role as independent director, "laments the decision" by Mandarin West Holdings which surely is to the detriment of stapled security holders but alas, there is nothing that can be done. This is just how powerful a REIT manager is and why it needs to be removed in order for the upcoming restructuring work to be aligned to the benefits of the majority of unit holders instead of the interest of only Howard and Taylor. 

3. The White Knight has been chosen apparently
I reckon that the White Knight from the  "Request for Proposal" has been chosen. Phase 3 by MAS and current directors of EHT will be to unveil this after the 10 days notification to the current Manager to exit. This will  move at lightning speed after the strategic phase 2 move by MAS is completed. Unit-holders should prepare for an EOGM soon to approve the rescue plan to revive EHT from near ashes. 

The move to eliminate the current Manager of EHT will also leave a clean slate for the white knight's management team to execute their turnaround plans without hindrance. 

Hopefully, the White Knight has extensive international hotel management experiences and an additional bonus if it has previous experiences operating in the US market.

Summary
It is no doubt a brilliant move engineered by the MAS, CAD and also the current directors of EHT. I just hope that the restructuring plan can be executed successfully by 1st week of December 2020. But taking into account the lead time for re-capitalization by the white knight, I would think EHT will earliest be operational only in the new year of 2021. The final hurdle would be at EOGM itself as Taylor and Howard still hold significant share holdings (15.2%) in EHT and may succeed in stopping the appointment of  the White Knight if other stapled security holders do not come out to vote for change. 

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Thursday, 8 October 2020

What Should The Investors of Eagle Hospitality Trust Expect Over Next Few Months- Will The Eagle Survive?

The Eagle Hospitality Trust (“EHT”) drama climaxed recently with the arrest of current and prior directors by the Commercial Affairs Department (“CAD”) of the Singapore Police as part of their investigation into possible breach of Section 203 and Section 331 of the Securities and Futures Act. 

Now, Section 203 deals with responsibilities of the directors in making necessary disclosures on the SGX to investors whereas Section 331 spells out the penalties for directors found to have committed the offence as aforesaid mentioned. Many current unitholders have been very angry with the directors and you can see some folks calling for them to step down but I think people are going after the wrong directors.

1. What is CAD and MAS trying to do here with the arrest?
Personally, I think this is just part of their routine investigation procedures but with hidden agenda by the CAD. The burden and responsibilities on the directors are heavy. But one can’t be held liable if some directors are purposely holding back information from the others. I think the 2 ex-directors Howard Wu and Taylor Woods are actually the main targets. They have been making a number of deals behind the back of the other directors of EHT. For example, non-disturbance agreements to assume liabilities for the lessee and taking out loans using EHT name in USA which was never agreed by EHT.

I also strongly believe that CAD and MAS are trying to send a message to Howard and Taylor to back off the current restructuring exercise as apparently, they are making lots of noise in public to get back the hotels. Another hidden message perhaps is to the entire Board of Directors to discharge their duties faithfully and align to the interest of the unit-holders. I will leave this point for now as I do not want to prejudice the current ongoing investigation, so let's just wait for the results. But it is interesting to see CAD jumping out like that and the news get spread in such a manner-very interesting play by the CAD and MAS.

2. Some Unit-holders are asking EHT Management team to sit down with Urban Commons to reach a deal to save EHT- Is this the best option or maybe barking up the wrong tree?
Many unit-holders just want any rescue deal even if it involves people with possible integrity issue. Their main purpose is just to get the counter removed from suspension for trading resumption and to sell the units on hand immediately to salvage whatever residual cash leftover. This is suicide. Urban Commons lead by Howard and Taylor  have many financial issues. As I mentioned earlier before, worst that could happen is getting nothing back. If one wants to get some value back, then might as well ensure it is the maximum value that can be unlocked out of the current deadlock.  

I know people are desperate. But to call for Urban Commons to come back into the fold means nothing has changed from day 1. In such case, might as well just do a liquidation straight away instead of trying to restart all the hotels with the same sponsor that brought EHT down. If Urban Commons want to come back in, they should have taken part in the Request for Proposal (“RFP”) instead of doing numerous Public Relation stunt to try to come back via a back door from behind the backs of other genuine parties taking part in the bid and submitting viable plan.

I expect the RFP results to be announced very soon and an EGM is coming up for EHT. Taylor and Howard as shareholders will be desperately trying to block the new white knight from coming into the picture as they want to continue running the hotels under their Urban Commons. I recommend unit-holders to go for the new white knight deal and the upcoming re-capitalisation proposal.

 3. Worse case scenario but not the end of the world
The worst case scenario here which many investors should expect, as part of investing, is to get back nothing- zero value from liquidation after repaying bank loans and creditors. But fortunately, things are actually not as dire as it seems. If so, EHT would have announced that no one submitted any proposal for taking-over the hotel business but as a matter of fact, 15 parties have entered into Non-disclosure Agreements with respect to the RFP. There were many interested parties which have subsequently submitted their plans by 31st August 2020 and the management of EHT is working to partner with the new prospective white knight. 
Above extracted from AGM Q&A released on 23 September 2020

Summary
Existing investors should be patient and wait for further news announcement. I expect another update by EHT towards the end of October’20 with regard to the progress of the restructuring exercise. Also an EGM on the prospective deal will most likely be on the table by end November’20. If this deal does not go through in EGM, then probably investors will have no choice but to take up the deal with Urban Commons and their new strategic joint business partner, Encore Enterprises. This whole thing will probably drag into December 2020 or even January 2021 to complete re-capitalisation and resumption of trading. Not a bad thing considering better COVID-19 anti-bodies treatments for those infected and vaccines to prevent infection will be rolled out in the US which will help in ensuring the hotel valuation are higher relative to half a year ago in the event that liquidation as an option of last resort is exercised. 

Saturday, 15 August 2020

Unauthorised US$2Mil Loan Taken Out By Sponsor of Eagle Hospitality Trust

On 14th August 2020 (Friday), Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT") made another shocking announcement. It appeared that the Sponsor (Urban Commons) of Eagle Hospitality Trust is treating it as a personal ATM machine. Even though Taylor Woods has resigned as director of EHT after the queries by SGX on conflict of interest issue, the ex-director apparently still went on to apply for a US$2Mil worth of loan using the entity name of EHT when he has absolutely no authority to represent EHT.  Strangely, the money borrowed effectively went to the bank account of the Master Lessee held by Urban Commons instead of going to EHT but the liability and legal borrower becomes EHT. Upon the ruse being discovered by the professional consultants of EHT, they sent a legal demand letter to Urban Commons. Urban Commons quickly responded that this incident is an administrative oversight and have informed the lender.

1. Start of a new war of words- Sponsor's side of the story on 12th August 2020 (Wed)
On 12th August 2020, Urban Commons suddenly put out a press release stating that the sponsor has a re-financing plan in place to help EHT. It then went on further to accuse the current management and professional advisors of EHT of acting in an adversarial manner and not willing to hear its rescue plan.  

2. EHT hits back at the allegation of Sponsor with the shocking revelation of the unauthorised loan application by Taylor Woods on 14th August 2020 (Fri).
EHT's response was very interesting and worth a mention here. Instead of playing defensive and trying to react to the accusation that it has not been willing to accept the proposal of Urban Commons and wasting money on engaging financial consultants for the restructuring, EHT brilliantly responded with a counter attack on the integrity and management style of the management of Urban Commons by revealing the unauthorised loan application made by Taylor Woods on behalf of EHT even when he is no longer a director of EHT- some-more, loan money goes to Urban Commons but EHT picked up the tag for repayment.  It was indeed an ingenious response by the current senior management of EHT and its advisors.

3. Why has Urban Commons, only after so many months, now suddenly assert that they have a viable financing plan for EHT?
My own personal thoughts on why Urban Commons only now appear to assert that they have a concrete financing plan in place is simply because of the recent announcement made by various leading COVID-19 vaccine developers on the significant progress being made. There is now a high likelihood that a safe and effective COVID-19 vaccine will become available to the general public of US as early as end of this year or early next year. Once COVID-19 is under-control, the hospitality sector in US will begin its recovery. 

Howard and Taylor are true businessmen. When the banks ask for recall of bank loan, they went into hiding and are unable to provide any solid recuse plan. Bear in mind that despite the press release of Urban Commons on 12th August 2020, Howard and Taylor raised up many points but failed to answer why they chose to enter into a non-disturbance agreement to transfer and assume financial liabilities worth US$50.7Mil  from the master lessees held by Urban Commons onto the shareholders of EHT. They have remained silent on this critical point.  

With the current muddy outlook becomes clearer, they now wanted to take control back of the hotel businesses as they want to make big money again from running the business. I strongly believe that Howard and Taylor are unwilling to let go of the hotel operations which they have painstakingly built up now that green shoots started appearing. But of course, when times are bad and uncertain, they chose to hide behind their master lessee shell companies and dump substantial liabilities onto the shareholders of EHT. When times are better, they want a piece of the pie again. Perfect timing from my own personal perspective. 

4.   Isn't it better as per what Howard Wu and Taylor Woods had said to let Urban Commons takeover the hotel operations again instead of wasting critical time looking at proposals from other hoteliers and wasting money on consultants?
(a) Again, from my personal perspective, I disagree with the way Howard and Taylor are running their business as I find them unable to differentiate clearly between the interest of EHT and Urban Commons. When times are bad, they transferred liabilities of US$50.7Mil to EHT from their Urban Commons operations via the non-disturbance agreements setup. The recent case of another US$2Mil unauthorized loan application for working capital of Urban Commons but using the name of EHT reinforces my view of their principles in life. The business decisions on the aforesaid points, in my personal opinion, are detrimental and at the expense of the unit-holders of EHT. 

(b) The request for proposals by EHT is open to all. If Urban Commons is still interested in running the hotels, then they need to submit a business plan and convince the directors of EHT that they now have the financial resources for a real come-back. But I reckon this will be tough in view of competition from other hoteliers. I am seriously doubtful of the sudden financing solutions claimed by Urban Commons. They have already failed to turn around EHT with their previous exclusive award of proposal to Far East Consortium International Limited ("FECIL"). Seeking external party help (FECIL) just a few months back and now suddenly claimed that Urban Commons itself has a viable financing strategy to resume operations is contradictory.  

(c)  As I have mentioned in my previous post, it is better for EHT to evaluate what the competitors have to offer in their proposals rather than just looking at 1 proposal.

5. Will the Eagle Hospitality Trust saga end soon?
This is highly unlikely. Urban Commons has initiated a counter legal claim against EHT. They want to force EHT to return the rights to lease the hotels to continue business operations so that Urban Commons can survive. 

I am also rather surprised to see Urban Commons argue on "Force Majeure" as a contractual clause to stop paying fixed rental to EHT and stating as if this is their rights. From what I observed, many hotel REITs sponsor/lessee are financially stronger and still paying any fixed rental component during this pandemic. There is no doubt that Urban Commons financial position is very weak relative to other hospitality trust.

Final Thoughts:
I guess it is lucky that both Howard Wu and Taylor Woods hold less than 15% of the units in EHT. I sense that a fight at an EGM is coming up soon.  My personal thoughts are to stay far far away from any recuse package offered by Urban Commons as they are treating EHT as their own personal play toys and there is a blatant lack of respect for other unit-holders.  I actually prefer to do a sales of all hotel assets under EHT rather than letting Urban Commons back into the fold. The best solution would be to work with other external hoteliers- preferably allowing a private placement of units to align the new business partner as well as to speedily re-capitalise the Trust in such a manner. 

(P.S: I noted discrepancies between 2 SGX announcements from EHT. On 14th August 2020, EHT stated that upon the Loan Application date of 18th May 2020, Taylor Woods is no longer an officer of EHT. However, the official resignation announced on 26th May 2020 states that the resignation of Taylor Woods is on 26th May 2020. If so, it means that the loan taken out is legally binding on EHT. I have sent out an email to EHT's Investor Relations Manager for clarification on this key point.)

Please also see my previous posts:



Friday, 24 July 2020

Eagle Hospitality Trust- No Deal Reached With Far East Consortium And Open Up Request For Proposal From Interested Parties

On 23 July 2020, Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT") finally posted an update on the restructuring status. Far East Consortium International Limted ("FECIL") apparently walked out of their due diligence  exercise without making any offer. It was a waste of a good 4 months by granting exclusive rights to FECIL. This exclusive negotiation agreement just expired on 14 July 2020. The previous non-executive directors Howard Wu and Taylor Woods had thus made another detrimental decision against the interest of unit-holders by choosing to enter into an exclusive negotiation deal with only one sole interested party. They should have opened it up to a general public offer for proposal by interested parties from the onset. 

1. SGX stepped in with new guidance after the failed negotiation with FECIL that leads to no deal even after 4 months.

A request for proposal has been sent out to invite interested parties to submit their preliminary indication of interest by 31 July 2020 and formal bids by end of August 2020.

SGX has also instructed the management of EHT that (i) there should not be any restriction imposed on bidders eligible to take part  and (ii) that Howard Wu and Taylor Woods be barred from any further direct negotiation with any bidders or granting any special exclusive agreement.


2. By end of August 2020, the tender will close
Since formal bids will be submitted by end of August 2020, I anticipated that the earliest award will be end of September 2020.  November 2020 will probably be the earliest that all operations can resume after the necessary capital injection and ironing out of key issues by the new interested party.

3. MAS and CAD Investigation on Directors and formal officers of EHT
Still no results out from MAS or CAD of the Singapore Police Force. I am surprised by the audacity committed by Howard Wu and Taylor Woods. Personally, I hope they will face charges for breach of law by the authorities as well as an eventual personal lawsuit against this pair of directors by the Company for the transfer of liabilities from tenant to EHT via non-disturbance agreements.

Summary
While it is indeed disappointing that FECIL chose to walk away, I opt to be more optimistic. I would actually prefer to examine a wide variety of proposals out there that may be better than what FECIL had to offer. Also, if we are lucky, there may even be successful development of a COVID-19 vaccine in the USA in late 2020. This should start the recovery of hospitality assets.

Please also see my previous posts:


Sunday, 28 June 2020

Eagle Hospitality Trust- Updates On Projected Salvageable Hotel Properties Value from Fire-sales (End June'20)

This is an update on the forced liquidation residual value projection for Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT") based on the latest SGX announcement on 21 June 2020. As long as the Monetary Authority of Singapore has not given any green light to the change in hotel manger to the White Knight, Far East Consortium International Ltd ("FECIL"), the basic assumption of an eventual forced liquidation by bankers and creditors will remain unchanged.  Also, with US tax authority jumping in to file liens over some of the hotels, the entire restructuring operations by FECIL and Urban Commons may be abandoned.   

As per recent announcement on 21 June 2020:
1. There is an increase of another US$6.1 Mil (US$44.6Mil to US$50.7Mil) from the Non-Disturbance Agreements signed by Howard and Taylor which transferred liabilities of the lessee onto EHT unfairly based on the latest announcement.  

2. US tax authority and US State Agencies filed a total of US$8.26Mil against the hotels. Assuming that the relevant Master Lessees will not be able to settle the liens that they would be responsible for and assuming that the relevant Master Lessors are found liable, the potential financial impact of the liens on EHT amounts to approximately US$8.26 million, being the aggregate amount claimed by the various third-party service providers and delinquent tax assessments under the above mentioned liens.

3. The City of Long Beach also filed a default of lease agreement with regard to the Queen Mary- no adjustment in the projection has been made for this as the announcement mentioned that they will be able to cure the defaults. However, we have to take this with a pinch of salt from the EHT management and sponsor with such a bad track record. If things turn further south, we will have to remove the entire Queen Mary valuation from the EHT hotel portfolio in the next projection update. 


Parting Thoughts:
I am wondering how long will the Queen Mary issue re-surface as Urban Commons certainly does not have the financial resources to cure further defaults but is just dragging its feet and barely keeping its head above water. The Queen Mary if adjusted out will lower the investment properties valuation by US$168 Mil in event the City of Long Beach took over possession due to defaulting of terms of the lease agreement. 

In addition, my thoughts are that MAS should be giving out further notice on whether it is agreeable to the change in hotel manager to FECIL within July'20 and we will see whether EHT can continue forward as a going concern. I am optimistic that there will be release of good news at the end of Q3 2020 on the phase 3 clinical trials results for US Moderna and UK Oxford COVID-19 vaccines safety and efficacy which will bring about much needed relief and hopes of gradual recovery of the US hospitality industry.   

Monday, 8 June 2020

White Knight Appears for Eagle Hospitality Trust And MAS & Singapore Police Force Commenced Joint Investigation

A white knight seems to have appeared for Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT") and are in serious discussion with the Sponsor Urban Commons, special restructuring firm and directors of EHT for a deal to take a 70% control of EHT Hotel Manager, that is, the Far East Consortium International Ltd group ("FECIL"). Never-mind that Howard Wu and Taylor Woods had again acted smart on their own to award exclusive negotiation with this new potential white knight instead of doing an open request for proposal from other eligible and reputable suitors which is a more transparent approach and introduced competition for the best deals from the bidders (that would  have best served the interest of unit-holders). Well, at least, the talk with FECIL has gone on for almost 2 months now.

1. White knight enters into picture
Howard Wu and Taylor Woods had signed an agreement with FECIL for a non-binding conditional proposal for an exclusivity period which will expire on July 14, 2020. FECIL is a leading regional conglomerate listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange with property development, hotel operations, car parking ventures as well as gaming and entertainment businesses. It has been developing and operating hospitality assets for more than 15 years and is currently developing 13 hotels, owns 29 hotels and holds a minority stake in two hotels, all of which are spread across eight countries. Most of its hospitality assets are internally managed by FECIL. In addition, it has been listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange since 1972. A reputable and experienced group with strong financial background as compared to Urban Commons.

2. Implication on EHT if the deal with FECIL goes through and concern that FECIL working in cahoot with Howard Wu and Taylor Woods
The good thing here is that if the deal goes through, then unit-holders can heave sigh of relief that they will get to recuperate part of their original investments instead of a high possibility of not getting a single cent back from their investments into EHT. Please refer to my previous post on the different scenarios of a forced liquidation of EHT hotel assets- "Eagle Hospitality Trust- Updates On Projected Salvageable Hotel Properties Value from Fire-sales".

There were talks by other retail investors that FECIL maybe under the influence or control of Howard Wu and Taylor Woods hence no difference at all to the current situation. I will disagree on these unsubstantiated assertions. FECIL is an established group that has been in business and listed on the Hong Kong stock exchange since 1972. Hongkongers are astute businessmen. They will not be blindly doing charity rescue work and then follow whatever Howard Wu and Taylor Woods wanted. Other main reasons are as follow:
(i) I believed that FECIL is taking this opportunity to expand and venture into the US hospitality market;

(ii) FECIL had asked for a 70% controlling stake in the hotel manager; 

(iii) They also wanted 80^% of the seats on the board of directors managing the hotel manager;

(iv) FECIL develops hotel assets. Gaining control of a REIT will be akin to gaining a backdoor listing for capital asset recycling strategy which adds further synergy to the FECIL conglomerate group. Hence FECIL will de facto became the new sponsor for EHT.

3. New negotiation on Master Lease Agreement and highly probable financial equity dilution faced by Eagle Hospitality Trust Unitholders.
After solving the daily operational issues of running the hotels, the next 2 issues to settle would be (a) the terms and conditions of the new Master Lease Agreement and (b) re-capitalisation of EHT to meet the working capital of running the Business Trust.

3(a) New Master Lease Agreement
 Do not expect the usual high fixed rental component in view of negotiation being done right in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic. The bargaining power would rest mostly with FECIL. Chances are a high weightage on variable revenue component and even partial rent-free period needs to be given out. This is unfortunately the price that needs to be paid by EHT unitholders for the White Knight to take-over while COVID-19 is still rampant in the US.

3(b) Re-capitalisation of EHT to meet working capital of running the Business Trust.
First and foremost, I do not think that there is sufficient time to do a rights issue exercise. Furthermore, even if there is a rights issue at huge discount, I doubt there will be many takers. Also, most bankers will not dare undertake the rights issue. Most probably, EHT will need to do a private placement of units to FECIL for them to take up a stake in EHT in return for cash injection (the deal maybe also to paydown some of the bank loans). I reckon that there will be a dilution in value for unitholders which can't be help. Will need to keep your fingers crossed that the issuance price is not at the last closing price of US$0.137 per unit. However, the general rule of thumb will be the last 1 mth of last trading price to get the benchmark issuance price. 

Nevertheless, having direct stakes in EHT aligns the interest of FECIL with all parties. With the completion of the above points, the bankers will be willing to accept forbearance of the syndicated bank loan.

4. MAS and CAD of Singapore Police Force commenced investigation into Directors and Officers of EHT
On 5th June 2020, MAS and CAD announced that they have launched a joint investigation into the current and former directors as well as officers responsible for managing EHT. The investigation is in connection with the suspected breaches of disclosure requirement under Section 203 of the Securities and Futures Act. It is interesting to note the statement made that the scope of the joint investigation will be widened if the evidence obtained reveals that other offences may have been committed. I also hope that CAD will dig into the email of the previous CFO and Vice President of Finance on how much they know about the conflict of interest deals done by Howard and Taylor. Personally, I am skeptical on the reasons which they had announced for resignation is due "to personal reasons" and "that there is no matter in relation to the their cessation that needs to be brought to the attention of the shareholders of EHT".

Key questions on the exact time whereby the directors and officers (such as CFO) know of the deficiency in rental deposits and upcoming default as well as the inking of the Non-Disturbance Agreement that transferred US$44Mil of liabilities from lessee to EHT, remain unanswered.

5. Civil lawsuit should be initiated against Howard Wu and Talyor Woods for breach of fiduciary duty and signing Non-Disturbance Agreements on behalf of EHT that are prejudicial to the  unit-holders as per the Audit & Risk Committee of EHT- Claw back US$44.6 Mil from Howard and Taylor
With the White Knight, FECIL, stepping into the picture and resolving the going concern issue, the management of EHT can now consider filing a civil lawsuit for damages from the breach of fiduciary duty of the previous non-executive directors, Howard Wu and Taylor Woods. Directors owe fiduciary duties to their company under common law subject to section 157 of the Companies Act.

Whether to proceed with this aspect will very much depend on how the FECIL deal turns out. I also suspect that Howard and Taylor may have inked a pact to get FECIL to resolve the transferred liabilties of US$44.6Mil from lessee to EHT.

Also, I hope that FECIL is smart enough to get Howard and Taylor to agree to not selling off their stakes in EHT for at least 6 months after the trading suspension as part of the restructuring deal.

In the event that this is not resolved, EHT management team can commence the lawsuit for damages immediately after the conclusion of the FECIL agreements. Howard Wu and Taylor Woods still owns units in EHT that can be sold off  under court order after the trading suspension to compensate unit-holders.

Final thoughts
Hopefully, a deal materialise by the end of the exclusivity period of 14th July 2020 with FECIL. Even if no deal is reached, the Special Restructuring Committee of EHT has reported that they actually have received from a number of parties non-binding, preliminary and indicative expressions of interest ("EOI"). These EOIs were reportedly from credible and reputable asset management companies and institutional investors. My initial fear in my last post was getting the rich buyers, to come out for bidding in the face of the pandemic, will be the most challenging part. Hence the fact that there are now lots of potential buyers willing to take over the running of the US hotels means that the survival-ability of EHT is actually rather high now. The issue is only a matter of how much residual value is left to unit-holders after the completion of the restructuring exercise.

Sunday, 17 May 2020

Eagle Hospitality Trust- Updates On Projected Salvageable Hotel Properties Value from Fire-sales

More shocking bad news came out from Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT").  On 15 May 2020, EHT did not just released their Q1 2020 financial results but also took the opportunity to announce that the key Sponsor directors, Howard Wu and Taylor Woods have imposed contractual terms on EHT that are prejudicial to the interest of the security-holders of EHT. Apparently, both Howard and Taylor signed up terms that are not in accordance with commercial market terms for the Non-Disturbance Agreements between Lessor and Lessee. EHT will now need to assume all liabilities from the bankrupted lessee even before the termination date of the agreement. This adds a whopping USD44.6 Million of additional liabilities to EHT and its security-holders.

1. Management of EHT claimed kept in the dark by Sponsor's Directors while Sponsor's Directors claim that they are not aware that they did not inform due to "miscommunication".
Most surprising aspect was that according to the other management and audit committee of EHT, they were not aware of this. Howard Wu and Taylor Woods also mentioned that this was due to miscommunications and they sort of missed out highlighting this to the other management of EHT. The matter only came to light when the US legal counsels hired by EHT went through all the agreements entered into by the hotel managers on 16th December 2019 and 14th February 2020 under the instruction of Howard Wu and Taylor Woods. Personally, I think that these directors of the Sponsor have serious integrity issue. The Audit Committee of EHT had announced that they are of the view that the terms and conditions entered into are not on usual commercial terms and is therefore prejudicial to the interests of EHT and its minority stapled security-holders. 

2. Revised financial projection of salvageable net asset value from fire-sales
  • Added in new item L7 for additional liabilities of USD44.6Mil due to Sponsor Directors imposing terms that are prejudicial to the interest of EHT and security-holders.
  • I have updated Ops expenses using Q1 2020 and extrapolated it for full year on assumption that it will take 12mths, that is until 31 March 2021, to complete the fire-sales-item L6.
  • Also item L6, assume zero rental income during the restructuring exercise.
  • For item L1, trade and other payables, I have removed USD 30Mil dividends payable to security-holders for the period 24 May 2019 to 31 Dec 2019 and assume that they cannot be paid out until completion of the whole exercise to simplify the projection of realizable value.
  • For the USD30Mil dividends payable, you will need to add this back to derive the realizable value if you bought in after the ex-dividend date.
  • Entry price assumed to be at average of USD0.60 per unit by investors.

As we can see above, it is game over for all security-holders if the REIT manager sell off EHT hotels at fire-sales discount of 53%. Not a single cent will be left for the security-holders after paying off bankers and vendors. Hopefully, the hotels can be sold off by offering one-third discount off last valuation done at end of December 2019 as security holders will still be able to get back USD$0.282 per unit or almost close to 50% of their original investments.

3. EHT got shot by SGX
On 15th May 2020, SGX immediately asked EHT to justify why they are not considering removing Howard Wu and Taylor Wood as directors as they have breached Interested Party Disclosure requirement and also made operational decisions that are detrimental to the interest of the security-holders of EHT.
SGX Query
Final thoughts:
I actually hope that the restructuring manager just liquidate all the hotels under management instead of only doing partial sales of hotels and then trying to continue operations. Personally, I have serious doubts on the abilities and integrity of the management team of EHT for the non-stop surprise after surprises that keep getting revealed. I have a sinking feeling that more dirt maybe unveiled later on and that this will not be the last time we need to revise downwards the realizable value projection of the net assets.

Please see my previous post on EHT below:

Thursday, 7 May 2020

Will Eagle Hospitality Trust Survive Upcoming Bankruptcy Threat? (Part 2 of 2)

Since the resignation of the CFO of Eagle Hospitality Trust ("EHT"), I have mentioned that investors holding on to EHT better be prepared to do a 100% write off of their investments similar to what happened to Hyflux. However, the lightning speed of the collapse did catch me off-guard in March 2020- I was planning to re-evaluate on what to do with my existing holdings of EHT after the payout of dividends (which unfortunately never materialise).

No one can predict with 100% certainty what will happen next. But there are basically 3 scenarios that can happen, and we can then rationalise using probability to figure out it goes which way:

Scenario 1: EHT goes into immediate liquidation and firesales of its hotels to 3rd parties as bankers refuses to grant any further forbearance of the breach of bank covenant.
I think that the chances of this happening is possible but on the low side. If this happens, then it will be an immediate fire-sales to raise cash to pay off the bankers. If the investment properties is valued at 50% haircut discount to the last valuation done by independent parties as at 31 December 2019, then investors will only get back 18% of their invested sum assuming the average entry price is at USD 0.60 per unit. Any fire sales of discount more than 57.5% to the last valuation will mean investors will not get a single cent back- pls refer to "Financial Projection of Realisable Cash from Sales of Investment Properties" section below.
I tada

Scenario 2: EHT do an equity fund raising exercise and also a partial asset sales to repay bulk of the bank loan as well as restructure the Master Lease Agreements with new operators and bankers are willing to support the new structure.
This is the scenario that is most unlikely. The reason being that most investors have already lost faith in the sponsor Urban Commons and the senior management team of EHT. Even the last market trading price of USD 0.137 per unit before suspension already represented a substantial discount of close to 50% off the property fair valuation as at 31 December 2019. In addition, taking into account the current high COVID-19 fatality rates in the USA which is still going up, the market sentiment will not be favorable at all. 

Scenario 3: EHT sell off a significant stake to raise cash, restructure the Master Lease Agreements with new operators and bankers are willing to support the new structure.
I would think that the probability of this scenario seems ostensibly higher given that EHT has already appointed FTI Consulting as their Financial Advisor for the restructuring exercise and to present a sellable storyline to the bankers. Also, the COVID-19 situation to me is not going to last many years as my thoughts are that by end of next year of 2021, more effective treatment drugs and vaccines will end this pandemic. Air travel and tourism will then start picking up again and the hospitality industry will see a gradual recovery from 2022 thereafter. The investment properties thus cannot be worthless and valued at more than 50% hair cut. 

The realizable value from this scenario of a going concern restructured business will be higher than the firesales of all hotels under scenario 1. This will represent a win-win scenario for all stakeholders.

Financial Projection of Realisable Cash from Sales of Investment Properties
Some simple assumptions to the financial model for estimating the realizable fair value:
  • Basically, the most significant pieces of asset of value are the hotels (investment properties) worth US$1.27 billion on the statement of financial position last valued by independent assessor as at 31 December 2019. The yellow highlights are the playing around with the haircut/discount upon sales of the hotels of 25%, 33.3%, 50% and 57.5% as depicted above. Any discount at 57.5% haircut or above will mean that shareholders are not getting not a single cent back after the bankers are repaid.

  • I have also included operating expenses run rate up till Dec'20 (assume zero rental income and include REIT manager fees, property expenses, financing cost in item L6) for the whole restructuring exercise as mentioned in the above 3 scenarios for conservative estimate of the financial model and business intrinsic valuation at fair value.
Summary and Parting Thoughts
In the event that EHT managed to sell off the assets at one third discount of 33.3%, we can see that the realizable value should still be worth US$0.349 per unit which means that investors can still get back around 52% of their invested amount (assuming entry price average was US$0.60 per unit). However, in the event that the hotel properties can only be sold off if more than 57.5% discount off their last valuation in 31 Dec 2019 is required, then investors will not get a single cent back. However, I am slightly more optimistic that offering a 50% discount should be able to get a rich buyer to takeover some of the hotels to raise cash for repayment to the bankers. In such case, investor will still get back around 18% of their invested amount. So for existing investors that could not exit in time, do keep your fingers crossed.   
Fina