Friday, 5 June 2026

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT Bags a New Tuas Asset, But Is It Time to Steer Clear of Singapore Logistics?

Hi Folks, welcome back to Investment Income for Life! I want to do a quick post on my thoughts on the recently announced logistics facility by Capitaland Ascendas REIT ("CLAR"). I am somewhat not very pleased with the recent acquisition and I should elaborate further below. 

On June 4, 2026, CLAR announced that it is strengthening its presence in Singapore by acquiring 5 Tuas Avenue 5, a modern seven-storey ramp-up logistics property, for a purchase consideration of S$133.9 million from Hup Hin Transport Co Pte Ltd. The purchase price reflects a 1.5% discount to the independent market valuation of S$136.0 million, bringing the estimated total investment cost to S$136.5 million after factoring in the manager's acquisition fee and transaction expenses. The asset features high-quality modern industrial specifications, including direct ramp access for 40-foot container trucks up to the sixth floor, a clear floor-to-ceiling height of up to 13 meters, and a heavy floor loading capacity of up to 30 kN per square meter across its 50,160 square meters of gross floor area. 

Strategically located near the Tuas Mega Port, Jurong Port, and the Tuas Second Link, the property is currently 100% occupied by four tenants under a triple-net lease structure. It features a stable five-year weighted average lease expiry (WALE) with a built-in 2.0% annual rental escalation. Financed via a combination of debt and net proceeds from an April 2026 equity fund raising, the acquisition is slated for completion in the second half of 2026. On a pro forma basis, it is expected to be distribution per unit (DPU) accretive by approximately 0.2% (0.033 Singapore cents) while delivering an attractive first-year net property income (NPI) yield of 6.5% post-transaction costs.

The Skeptic's View: Why I'm Cautious on Singapore Logistics Assets
Despite the seemingly stable metrics of this specific acquisition, I remain highly cautious about increasing exposure to the Singapore logistics and warehousing sector in the current economic climate. Look at Mapletree Logistics Trust, its market price performance has been a great disaster for the past 2 years. 

This was a far cry from the COVID and post COVID initial years. From my own personal experience, warehouse rental rate then were hitting over S$2.00 per sqft and I remembered extremely stressed up over my warehouse lease renewal- It was a landlord's market then! Then suddenly, it is going for as low as S$1.60- S$1.90 per sqft at Joo Koon, Pioneer, Benoi, Penjuru etc. This is the listing price on Commercial Guru. If you bargain hard enough, one can easily shave off another 10 cents off per sqft to as low as S$1.50 per sqft. Some of the warehouse landlords may even be willing to throw in a migration package that includes the sponsor of the booking of trailers and hauliers to move your existing cargo to their warehouse if you decided to change warehouse.

Parting Thoughts
I am just wondering whether CLAR should focus entirely on acquisition of data centres or other industrial properties rather than logistics warehousing facility. So I do not really like this latest addition to the CLAR family. I can only say that the good thing is that this acquisition is small in scale and does help in diversification of its business risks. 

Ok, that's all from me for today. Have a great week ahead!

(Note: I am currently still holding on to all my CLAR units in my investment portfolios.)

Friday, 29 May 2026

The Myth About Singapore Civil Service Annual Variable Bonus Of Only 0-1.5mths Annually.

This post is just for fun. I had a very good laugh after reading through this article from Salary.Sg. The funny part is that it gave everyone the impression that those working in government sectors are only given very little annual variable bonus. In a way, I myself have been misled for decades regarding the very little variable bonus in the form of the Annual Variable Component ("AVC") announcement during mid-year and end of the year.  

1. Don't be Fooled By the 0mth to 1.5mths AVC.
This is the extracted paragraph on the annual remuneration package: "Civil servants in Singapore typically receive:
-A fixed 13th-month payment (AWS)
-Mid-year AVC
-Year-end AVC

-Occasionally, one-off special payments"

The AVC portion fluctuates depending on economic conditions and government recommendations.

YearMid-Year AVCYear-End AVCTotal AVC (Excl. 13th Month)
20250.4 monthTBDTBD
20240.45 month1.05 months1.50 months
20230.3 month0.6 month0.90 month
20220.35 month1.1 months1.45 months
20210.3 month1 month1.30 months
20200 month0 month0 month
20190.45 month0.1 month0.55 month
20180.5 month1 month1.50 months
20170.5 month1 month1.50 months
20160.45 month0.5 month0.95 month

The above is the historical AVC for civil servants which appears to be similar or very tiny relative to the private sector (depending on whether you are in banking sector or other sector such as logistics etc).

2. What is the Actual Cumulative Variable Bonus then?
Many folks in the commercial/private sector will be shocked by what I am going to assert next. The AVC is actually not the de-facto variable bonus that everyone thought it was. There is actually another "performance bonus" on top of the Civil Service bonus. For example in 2024, if the civil service bonus is 1.5months and the "performance bonus" given is 1 month, the total variable bonus awarded for 2024 is actually 2.5 months.

Additionally, "1 month performance bonus" in government agencies actually belongs to those below mediocre ratings staff. Most folks may be getting 2-3mths of performance bonus. So the total variable bonus for 2024 maybe 4 months for the average staff (including Civil Service Bonus).

Add in 13mth annual wage supplement and wow, this is extra 5 months supplement besides the usual basic pay. 
IRON rice bowls!

3. One Should Aspire to Work in Government Agencies- BE a Civil Servant.
My sincere thoughts would be to encourage young graduates to apply to the government sector amidst the AI revolution that is causing private sector companies, such as META and Standard Chartered, that have been retrenching many staff due to AI taking over basic coding and deployment of agentic AI. Having an iron rice bowl with numerous months of variable bonus seems to be the better option for one's career in particularly for those who have no entrepreneur flair.

The only jobs that I know of within my circle that beats government civil servants are those working in local banks and pharmaceutical sector with at least 5-6mths of variable bonus.

Parting Thoughts
So does anyone think I am just BS about the above? Am I hallucinating like AI? Strange that many years ago, my friends told me that the private sector pays a lot better than the government sector and to avoid being a civil servant. 

Monday, 25 May 2026

Bitcoin Market Realities: Buying the Dip.

Hi Folks, another new video posting on my Bitcoin investment for sharing. These days video editing made easy and intuitive with AI prompts. 

 

Wednesday, 20 May 2026

Donald Trump To Restart Attacks on Iran- Winter Is Coming!

Hi folks, Winter is coming! If you thought that your week was chaotic, wait until you see what just dropped in the Persian Gulf over the few days. Donald Trump and his buddy Netanyahu will soon be re-attacking Iran. Looks like oil supply from Middle East will be cut off for a very long time as Iran will be continuing with their blockage of the Straits of Hormuz. With oil availability tight despite US, Canada, Venezula, Russia etc ramping up oil production for exports and China curbing their oil consumption, it has been reported that prices will remain high and even rocketed. 

The Immediate Threat: Geopolitical Shortage (Days to Weeks) is what happens if Trump acts on his threat of another strike.
The Hormuz Chokepoint is causing over 14 million barrels per day of oil production to be shut in or stranded due to the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Because nearly 20% of the world’s seaborne oil transits this narrow channel, a renewed U.S. strike would likely cement this blockade through Q3 2026.

Global oil inventories are currently already being drawn down at a staggering, historic pace of roughly 4 million to 8.5 million barrels per day. Even with coordinated Emergency Stock Releases from the IEA, these storage reserves can only act as a buffer for a few months.  Refinery Starvation: Refineries outside the Middle East (particularly in Asia, which buys 75% of Gulf oil) are already slashing operations because they cannot source the specific types of crude they need. A renewed strike will immediately exacerbate the shortage of middle distillates like diesel and jet fuel, causing localized fuel rationing and skyrocketing pump prices well past $4.00 a gallon in the U.S. 

The Expected Shortage Timeline
So yes, we are already in a structural shortage covered by emergency reserves. If the ceasefire permanently collapses, those emergency buffers will rapidly deplete, threatening severe physical supply crunches for oil-importing nations very soon in another 2-3mths.Yes, this is how dire our current situation has become.

Parting Thoughts and REITs/Bonds Being Whacked Again
Sadly, my SREITs have been badly battered by the stock market this week due to the fear of inflation leading to extreme interest rate hikes that will inevitably affect their net profits. Bond funds also find their valuation being hammered from expectation of a higher interest rate environment. Haiz, nothing is safe it seems these days. Let's keep our fingers crossed that Trump is only bluffing about renewed attacks on Iran. The stubborn old man has brought much grief to the world economies.

Wednesday, 13 May 2026

United Hampshire US REIT Amazing Q1 2026 Results- Distribution Yield Now Around 9% Per Annum.

United Hampshire US REIT ("UHREIT") reported a strong 1Q 2026, with distributable income rising 10.0% year-on-year to US$6.9 million, driven by higher rents, active leasing and contributions from two newly acquired grocery-anchored properties. Gross revenue increased 8.7% to US$19.7 million, while net property income climbed 12.7% to US$13.2 million. Using FY2025 Distribution Per Unit (DPU) of 4.39 US cents and closing Unit Price (12 May 2026) of US$0.515 per unit, this represents a previous distribution Yield of 8.5%. Since Dover is acquired in 2nd half 2025, a high level normalisation should give about a at least 5% increase for DPU in 2026, that is around an incredulous 9% distribution yield! 


1. Recap of New Properties Driving Increase in Distribution.
UHREIT sold Albany Supermarket for US$23.8 million back in January 2025. Thereafter, it has reinvested those proceeds into higher-yielding investment properties along with debt to supplement the these acquisitions:

1(i) Dover Marketplace-Acquired on 1 August 2025.
Purchase price: US$16.4 million
Funding source: Fully funded by proceeds from the divestment of Albany Supermarket

1(ii) Wallingford Fair Shopping Center- Acquired on 22 January 2026.
Purchase price: US$21.4 million
Funding source: Partially funded by proceeds from the Albany Supermarket divestment, internal cash, and external borrowings.

2. Financial Highlights for Q1 2026
Portfolio fundamentals remained resilient. The grocery and necessity portfolio maintained 97.7% occupancy, weighted average lease expiry extended to 8.0 years, and tenant retention stayed high at 90%. Only 2.0% of leases are due for renewal in 2026, while self-storage occupancy improved to 89.2%.

The balance sheet remains stable, with aggregate leverage at 40.3%, a lower average borrowing cost of 4.91%, and no refinancing requirements until February 2028.
Final Add On
UHREIT Management remains positive on the outlook, citing resilient demand for grocery-anchored retail, limited new supply, and opportunities for further acquisitions and asset enhancements. The 9% distribution yield for 2026 and the high potential for capital appreciation made UHREIT an attractive investment. Personally, given the current good results (finally turn-around after declining financials for past few years), I would have invested additional funds into UHREIT if not for my current holdings which already made up 10% of my total portfolios which represented an extremely high concentration risk.  

Monday, 11 May 2026

Iran Thinks It Has Upper Hand Against Donald Trump Over US-Iran War- Trump Vomiting Blood.

Iran has responded to US latest proposal to stop the war and Donald Trump is either foaming from his mouth or vomiting blood after reading through it. In my previous May 4, 2026 post on the US-Iran war (US–Iran Ceasefire Or War: A Fragile Pause and What Comes Next ), I have expressed my thoughts that this will turn out to be a long protracted conflict that will never have a resolution. 

1. Brave Iranians Defy US and Bets That Donald Trump Will Not Be Able to Nuke Them
It is strange that the Iranian government is very confident that Donald Trump will never dare to use the nuclear bomb against Iran. Hence they have effectively dug in on their position for US to remove blockade first and to accept that Iranians will control the Straits of Hormuz going forward.

In life, one learns that being too extreme and over-confident may often resulted in a wrong prediction. Crazy Trump may just do what everyone thought impossible.

2, Donald Trump Never Expect A Quick War To Go Totally Wrong.
Bolden by his Venezuela kidnapping of its hostile President and working with a friendlier government, Trump is feeling invincible. Trump probably also think that an attack on Iran will also further boost his legacy by being the US President willing to deal with the Iran uranium problem.

3. Donald Cursing Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel For Dragging US Into War With Exaggerated Outcome.
Most analysts are certain that Benjamin Netanyahu has goaded Donald into his wish list for decades to deal Iran with a blow that will handicap it. He must have told Trump that now is the best time to bomb Iran to trigger a regime change. Netanyahu also further stroked Trump's ego by praising Trump's kidnapping of the president of Venezuela with minimum resources.  

Parting Thoughts
I think that the AI bubble will probably burst first rather than seeing any true peace deal materialising. The Straits of Hormuz will also re-open soon but subject to paying of extortion money to Iran.