Hi Folks, for those who have already subscribed to the Boustead REIT or love Boustead, please do not flame me for this post. This post is based only on my personal view. Strangely, the management of Boustead decided to go ahead to list their REIT when Donald Trump is still fighting a war with Iran- this is no doubt the worst possible time to IPO. On whether one shall subscribe to this IPO, the crux of the issue is not with the expected dividend yield or extent of the aggregate leverage level; It is also not about the low occupancy rate of less than 90%. The paramount consideration needs to go back to a Boustead fiasco back in November 2023 where a low ball buyout offer was made by Boustead to privatise and delist its real estate and engineering subsidiary Boustead Projects from existing shareholders then. Hence, if one does not want to lose his or her own hard earn capital, one needs to stay away from this IPO. I will elaborate on the above crux factor as well as another 2 other reasons on why one needs to avoid this subscription.
1. “Management Beliefs” and How Shareholders Are Treated.
First and foremost, Boustead Singapore Limited today is no longer the MNC founded by Edward Boustead in 1828 during the Straits Settlement days. Mr Wong Fong Hui and his family acquired Boustead back in 1996. Mr Wong is instrumental in transforming Boustead into a major engineering and technology conglomerate and is a very good businessman. His family held around 45% shares of Boustead Singapore Limited.
Now, the most uncomfortable factor for me is that in the event that the REIT faced a financial crisis which is part and parcel of the ups and downs of our economy, can it survive without causing much grief to its Unitholders? There may also be pro-longed periods where the REIT may treat at substantial discount to its fair value. One does not want to be in a situation whereby the REIT is being forced to privatise at a huge discount to the IPO price of S$0.88 per unit with a low ball offer.
I am not sure whether you folks recalled a REIT called Soilbuild REIT- please go google and read up on it.
Basically, many sharp and wealthy businessmen can acquire a business at a less than fair valuation to delist and then a few years later, launch another IPO after re-packaging the investment properties inside. It maybe better to stick with the Capitaland or Mapletree Group of REITs in order to sleep better at night.
The 2023 Boustead Project delisting in a way can arguably be a quick preview of what may come in future for Boustead REIT. The consultant for that delisting even issued an opinion to shareholders then that the initial offer was “reasonable but not fair”. However, the good news is that the offer was subsequently revised upwards significantly after some commotion. Nevertheless, this gives retail investors like myself some basic understanding of how the management of Boustead does business.
2. Boustead REIT Mostly Industrial Properties and Low Occupacy Rate Less than 90%.
Another reason to stay away from this IPO is the less than 90% occupancy rate and the high concentration of major tenants for this IPO. In the event that there is a major tenant loss, it will take time and more CAPEX to sub-divide the property into smaller units configuration.
3. US Iran War and High Oil Prices May Bring Back Inflation or Even Recession,
Oil prices are spiking and the inflation monster may rear its ugly head once again. I believe many of you folks who held REITs for the past few years remember the high interest rate environment and the devastating effect on the market price of REITs. Prices of REITs will most likely drop further over the next few months.
Parting Thoughts.
Personally, I will be avoiding the Boustead REIT at all cost not just for this IPO but also in future. I have a very bad feeling on the performance of Boustead REIT post IPO and that this will go down the path of Soilbuild REIT.
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