The
99 years leasehold expiry issue that was recently hotly debated due to the
comments from the National Development Minister is actually not just restricted
to HDB. Yes, it also affects private property owners who purchased their
properties under a 99 years tenure. Simply put, all leasehold properties,
whether public or private, will eventually go back to the state upon expiry.
The
Singapore Land Authority official stance is that its general policy will be to
recover the land upon lease expiry. For HDB, do not expect all aged flats to be eligible for Selective Enbloc Redevelopment Scheme ("SERS"). This thus
creates a huge national problem as approximately 80% of the Singapore population stay in
public housing.
For
private property owners, this issue is less acute. Unlike HDB flats, private
property owners can opt for collective enbloc sales to developers such as Far
East Organization, City Development, Capitaland, Keppel Land, Oxley etc.
However, this is on the assumption that there is a good residential association
or management committee leading the estate. This means that there must be good
leaders among the residents who are financially savvy and able to organize as
well as rally support to complete the requirements to push for enbloc once an
estate reaches between 30yrs old to 40yrs old.
One
shocking real life example of the dreadful impact of the leasehold expiry issue
can be gleaned from the private estate in Geylang Lorong 3. The Geylang private
estate has a 60 year leasehold from 1960 which means that it is expiring by
2020, that is, around 2 more years. It consists of 190 private landed homes. There
are around 20-30 households still remaining and living in the estate. Some of
the remaining owners regretted not selling off earlier when prices were still
relatively high. The owners were surprised that once 2020 comes, their
properties will be worth nothing. There are no buyers right now given the
circumstances as it is.
The
moral of the story here is that private property owners will not be impervious
to the detrimental impact of a lease approaching the end of its tenure. Given
the hundreds of thousands of dollars or even millions spent to purchase a
private property, one should not clung on to sentiment and should go for enbloc
once the properties become old. I would think between 30 yrs and 40 yrs is the
best time for the estate to group together to call for enbloc to private
developers in order to preserve their property value.
For
freehold private property owners who are glad that they will have no such
issue, that is, unfortunately not true. The Singapore government had a track
record of invoking the Land Acquisition Act which means that freehold may not
be so perpetual after all. I do not believe there is such a thing as “freehold”
property in land scare Singapore. In addition, once a property reaches 30 yrs
old, chances are there will be many property maintenance issues regardless of
being HDB, private leasehold or private freehold. Common problems will be worn
out electrical fittings, water pipes leaking, pneumatic disposal system
problems etc.
The
key point I guess to overcome the 99 years leasehold issue is not to stay at
one place for more than 30 years to 40 years to avoid the sad fate of Geylang Lorong
3 private estate. The intrinsic value of our properties is further compounded by
the CPF restriction imposed on subsequent purchaser buying old estates which
certainly exacerbates the problem. The old adage that property is a retention
of wealth no longer holds true in Singapore with the MND announcement. This can
be seen in the current resales prices of old HDB estates as Singaporeans assess
the recent statements being made by the government. Of course, letting go of
sentiment of staying in one’s place is easier said than done. We are human
beings after all. A home holds many sweet memories of the past and present for
many of us.
Getting owners to agree on enbloc is a tricky thing. Most people expect to strike toto & will insist on sky high psf prices even if way above valuation. It's worse if there are many hundreds or thousand condo units to convince. If a condo already built up to its maximum GPR and GFA, then not much room for developers to profit -- hard for them to give good enbloc price. If your aim is to have easier enbloc in future, then go for smaller condos that have not utilised their max GPR. Ironically this usually are the smaller & older condos and private apartments.
ReplyDeleteNoted. Thanks for sharing!
DeleteYour comment on freehold can be misleading. If your FH property is acquired under Land Acquisition Act, you will be compensated. The amount may not be what you think you deserved, but unlike leasehold property at the end of the lease, FH property will not be worth nothing.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the comment. I was thinking of the cases whereby part of a church land and condo land were acquired for a dollar each during the construction of the Circle Line. With the strange reasons such as re-zoning and other unqiue valuation methods under the Land Acquisition Act, I was trying to point out that the idea of Freehold mooted in Singapore and other countries are very different. I guess a better way to put it to avoid miscommunication would be that generally speaking, most of the Freehold properties should have no issues. But due to what had indeed happened in numerous historical cases, there is still a probability that one may still be paying chicken price for an egg if unfortunately such "unforeseen circumstances" happened. This is even more so in future in land scare Singapore where previously there had been talks on land intensification and re-zoning etc required to cater for future population growth. Bear in mind that previously, there were talks that Singapore should plan for 10 Mil population and not just stop at 6.9Mil.
DeleteI agree with your point on land acquisition and it doesn’t just affect freehold developments. One of the older leasehold condo I stayed at around Holland was a small one to begin with. Their only swimming pool was taken away due to acquisition act by the government for a bus stop !
ReplyDeleteNow the ageing condo is left sitting on a odd shaped land with very little potential to increase its plot ratio unless the height restriction is removed. It is near the GCB area so doesn’t seemed likely they can rebuild to the heights like the D’Leedon.
The units are spacious and if renovated can be a lovely place to live in but i advised my friend not to buy despite the attractive price. The chances for enbloc is very slim due to the partial acquisition few years ago and the inability to optimise the plot ratio.
This development could go to zero in less than 50 years imho.